Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 20

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Regional de Chinquihue (Puerto Montt)


	Deportes Puerto Montt		Deportes Melipilla

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.67	3.85
	1.72	3.53	4.66	Watch
	1.75	3.52	4.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.71)	3.57 ↓ (3.64)	4.21 ↑ (4.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Puerto Montt
52.6%

Draw
25.7%

Deportes Melipilla
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

25%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

26.7%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Puerto Montt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

The chances for Deportes Melipilla have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Puerto Montt than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Melipilla than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes Melipilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ureta L. (G) 14. Antinirre H. 5. Calisto F. 23. Castillo G. 29. Castro R. 17. Flores Secal K. 30. Negrete S. 16. Ormeno M. 4. Riveros M. 2. Rodriguez C. 9. Vazquez L.	34. Santelices L. (G) 10. Becica A. 27. Caceres B. 30. Demateis V. 3. Flores E. 4. Fuentes B. 7. Inostroza B. 17. Magana C. 23. Martinez L. 6. Rodriguez M. 9. Vargas L.
Substitutes
25. Bustos G. 8. Cardenas J. 1. Catalan K. (G) 28. Perez S. 21. Toledo M. 10. Vargas C. 3. Yanez V.	28. Arce L. 25. Basaure N. 36. Cofre D. 13. Escalona Armijo M. 2. Gutierrez C. 20. Sepulveda G. 12. Tapia S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Flores Secal K. 🟨,
7', Demateis V. 🟨,
14', 0 - 1, Inostroza B. ⚽,
18', Vazquez L. 🟨,
37', Flores E. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
48', 1 - 1, Antinirre H. ⚽,
57', Flores Secal K. ↓, Cardenas J. ↑,
59', Flores E. ↓, Basaure N. ↑,
65', 2 - 1, Antinirre H. ⚽,
69', Martinez L. 🟨,
70', Inostroza B. ↓, Sepulveda G. ↑,
71', Cardenas J. 🟨,
78', Negrete S. ↓, Perez S. ↑,
78', Castro R. ↓, Vargas C. ↑,
83', 2 - 2, Becica A. ⚽,
85', 3 - 2, Castillo G. ⚽,
87', Basaure N. 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,
90+6', Perez S. 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puerto Montt won 2.

Puerto Montt is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Melipilla is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Puerto Montt may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Melipilla has had a series of home games.

In this match, Puerto Montt is seen as the favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Puerto Montt won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 0.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Puerto Montt won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Puerto Montt
Chilean Segunda Division
07.09.25	General Velásquez - Deportes Puerto Montt	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Deportes Puerto Montt - Trasandino de Los Andes	5:0 ✺
15.08.25	Deportes Rengo - Deportes Puerto Montt	1:3 ✺
02.08.25	Deportes Puerto Montt - Real San Joaquín	3:0 ✺
26.07.25	San Antonio Unido - Deportes Puerto Montt	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWWWL
- Deportes Melipilla
Chilean Segunda Division
31.08.25	Deportes Melipilla - Provincial Ovalle	1:0 ✺
17.08.25	Deportes Melipilla - General Velásquez	2:1 ✺
03.08.25	Deportes Melipilla - Deportes Rengo	2:1 ✺
27.07.25	Concón National - Deportes Melipilla	0:1 ✺
20.07.25	Deportes Melipilla - Provincial Osorno	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
26.04.25	Deportes Melipilla - Deportes Puerto Montt	1:1
31.08.24	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes Melipilla	0:2
20.04.24	Deportes Melipilla - Deportes Puerto Montt	0:1
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
18.07.22	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes Melipilla	2:0
02.03.22	Deportes Melipilla - Deportes Puerto Montt	1:1
24.01.21	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes Melipilla	0:1
20.01.21	Deportes Melipilla - Deportes Puerto Montt	2:2

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