Match Info

Copa Colombia - First stage - Round 3

Date: 6 June 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Centenario (Armenia)


	Deportes Quindío		Atlético Bucaramanga

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.33	1.53	Watch
	4.1	3.2	1.77
	4.85	4.15	1.5	Watch
	6.29	3.75	1.53
	5.22	4.19	1.58	Watch
	4.33	3	1.85
	5.43	4.25	1.51	Watch
	4.85	4.15	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.04 ↑ (4.26)	3.88 ↑ (3.22)	1.6 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Quindío
18.3%

Draw
23.8%

Atlético Bucaramanga
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.6%

28.6%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

28%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Quindío has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Atlético Bucaramanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Bucaramanga's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Quindío than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Bucaramanga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Deportes Quindío - Atlético Bucaramanga Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Atlético Bucaramanga will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atlético Bucaramanga will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Mosquera J. ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Valencia F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 2 - 1, Chala J. ⚽,
55', 2 - 2, Londono K. ⚽,

Preview

Recent form of Deportes Quindío has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bucaramanga is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Deportes Quindío may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bucaramanga is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Quindío won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Quindío won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Quindío
Colombian Copa
03.06.25	Boca Juniors de Cali - Deportes Quindío	2:0 ✺
29.05.25	Deportes Quindío - Boyacá Chicó	2:1 ✺
Colombian Primera B
18.05.25	Real Cartagena - Deportes Quindío	4:1 ✺
13.05.25	Deportes Quindío - Orsomarso	0:0 ✺
03.05.25	Tigres - Deportes Quindío	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLTL
- Atlético Bucaramanga
Colombian Copa
02.06.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Cali	3:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
29.05.25	Colo-Colo - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
25.05.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Pasto	2:1 ✺
17.05.25	Deportivo La Equidad - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:4 ✺
Copa Libertadores
13.05.25	Fortaleza - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
17.08.21	Deportes Quindío - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:3
Colombian Primera B
25.08.15	Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportes Quindío	0:0
30.03.15	Deportes Quindío - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:3
20.11.14	Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportes Quindío	1:0
17.11.14	Deportes Quindío - Atlético Bucaramanga	3:0

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