Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 31 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Jaime Morón León (Cartagena)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Real Cartagena		Deportes Quindío

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.65	3.5	4.95	Watch
	1.73	3.51	4.95
	1.62	3.72	5.5	Watch
	1.7	3.2	4.6
	1.77	3.53	4.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.85)	3.49 ↑ (3.42)	4.91 ↑ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Cartagena
54.6%

Draw
26.5%

Deportes Quindío
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

27.2%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

26.3%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Deportes Quindío has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Cartagena than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Quindío than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Real Cartagena - Deportes Quindío Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Real Cartagena will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Gomez Tovar G. E. (G) 17. Aleman J. 7. Barrera J. 6. Escobar A. 26. Garcia N. 8. Guevara L. 23. Lora R. 27. Melendez A. 10. Montero F. 14. Pino D. 24. Tegue G.	12. Pabon S. (G) 29. Angulo Satizabal R. 25. Carabali R. A. F. 10. Javier Reina 7. Lloreda J. 15. Mosquera F. 20. Ocampo J. 5. Roa S. 14. Rodrigo Moran L. 9. Rodriguez J. 17. Sandoval J.
Substitutes
15. Florez C. 12. Fontalvo R. (G) 30. Herrera J. 25. Long H. 9. Manotas M. 20. Nieva J. 21. Rodriguez J. 5. Solarte Espana J. A. 11. Yanes L.	18. Arango W. 11. Chala J. 21. Cordoba J. 24. Ibarguen J. 4. Landazury H. 2. Rovira U. 30. Silva J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Montero F. ⚽,
12', Lloreda J. 🟨,
29', Melendez A. ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
30', 🟨,
32', 1 - 1, Ocampo J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', 2 - 1, Montero F. ⚽,
70', Montero F. 🟨,
70', 🟨,
72', Mosquera F. 🟨,
73', Barrera J. ↓, Manotas M. ↑,
73', Pino D. ↓, Solarte Espana J. A. ↑,
78', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
79', Javier Reina ↓, Arango W. ↑,
79', Rodriguez J. ↓, Ibarguen J. ↑,
89', Graciano C. ↓, Florez C. ↑,
89', Herrera J. ↓, Nieva J. ↑,
90+2', Ibarguen J. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Cartagena won 3.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

In this match, Real Cartagena is the team to beat.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Real Cartagena won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Cartagena won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 17:6. (average 2.4:0.9).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Quindio	11	4	4	3	9:8	1	16
7	Cartagena	11	4	3	4	19:14	5	15

Last Results with these Odds

Real Cartagena - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50.25%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Cartagena
Colombian Primera B
27.03.26	Boca Juniors de Cali - Real Cartagena	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Real Cartagena - Unión Magdalena	2:1 ✺
16.03.26	Envigado - Real Cartagena	1:1 ✺
10.03.26	Real Cartagena - Internacional de Palmira	2:2 ✺
06.03.26	Real Cartagena - Orsomarso	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWTTW
- Deportes Quindío
Colombian Primera B
26.03.26	Deportes Quindío - Orsomarso	2:2 ✺
20.03.26	Bogotá - Deportes Quindío	0:2 ✺
16.03.26	Deportes Quindío - Real Cundinamarca	0:0 ✺
11.03.26	Patriotas - Deportes Quindío	0:0 ✺
05.03.26	Real Santander - Deportes Quindío	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
27.10.25	Deportes Quindío - Real Cartagena	0:0
18.05.25	Real Cartagena - Deportes Quindío	4:1
13.11.24	Deportes Quindío - Real Cartagena	2:1
09.11.24	Real Cartagena - Deportes Quindío	3:0
02.09.24	Real Cartagena - Deportes Quindío	2:0
19.03.24	Deportes Quindío - Real Cartagena	1:0
23.09.23	Real Cartagena - Deportes Quindío	2:0

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