Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Quadrangular - Round 4

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano de Techo (Bogotá)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Tigres		Deportes Quindío

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.55	2.88	2.18	Watch
	3.68	2.99	2.18
	3.71	2.85	2.23	Watch
	3.4	2.7	2.1
	3.56	2.86	2.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↑ (3.22)	2.86 ↑ (2.63)	2.16 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tigres
25.6%

Draw
32.1%

Deportes Quindío
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

35.4%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tigres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Deportes Quindío has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes Quindío's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigres than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Quindío than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportes Quindío, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Tigres - Deportes Quindío Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Deportes Quindío will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Brid Arroyo V. M. (G) 9. Aragon O. 3. Cano J. 20. Ibarra C. 21. Lopera J. 8. Mejia B. 10. Mosquera K. 11. Palacios L. 15. Quinones J. 6. Valbuena S. 18. Viafara D.	30. Silva J. (G) 29. Angulo Satizabal R. 25. Carabali R. A. F. 11. Chala J. 10. Javier Reina 15. Mosquera F. 22. Payares M. 5. Roa S. 14. Rodrigo Moran L. 17. Sandoval J. 16. Torres Y.
Substitutes
17. Alvarez M. 19. Arrechea E. 13. Cuadros A. 2. Florez S. 1. Lopez Larrota K. E. (G) 28. Mosquera F. 24. Palacios S. 26. Parra G. 29. Rativa D.	26. Alvarez A. 18. Arango W. 24. Ibarguen J. 19. Marin R. 20. Ocampo J. 28. Ortiz J. S. 12. Pabon S. (G) 2. Rovira U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Chala J. 🟨,
26', Roa S. 🟨,
45+3', Ibarra C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Angulo Satizabal R. ↓, Marin R. ↑,
52', Valbuena S. 🟨,
53', 0 - 1, Torres Y. ⚽,
56', Valbuena S. ↓, Alvarez M. ↑,
70', Cano J. ↓, Parra G. ↑,
70', Quinones J. ↓, Mosquera F. ↑,
70', Aragon O. ↓, Rativa D. ↑,
73', Payares M. 🟨,
73', Ibarra C. ↓, Arrechea E. ↑,
83', Chala J. ↓, Ocampo J. ↑,
83', Mosquera F. ↓, Ibarguen J. ↑,
84', Mosquera K. 🟨,
89', Javier Reina ↓, Rovira U. ↑,
90+3', Mosquera F. 🟨,

Preview

Deportes Quindío is Qualified for Primera B (Apertura ~ Play Offs Final)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tigres won 1.

Recent performances by Tigres have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Deportes Quindío is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Deportes Quindío could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tigres won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 13:25. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Tigres won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1:1.1).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Tigres	11	6	3	2	13:4	9	21
6	Quindio	11	4	4	3	9:8	1	16

Last Results with these Odds

Tigres - the odds 3.22 are the expected chance of winning is 28.88%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Deportes Quindío - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.76%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tigres FC
Colombian Primera B
04.05.26	Deportes Quindío - Tigres	1:0 ✺
29.04.26	Envigado - Tigres	2:0 ✺
24.04.26	Tigres - Internacional de Palmira	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Tigres - Deportes Quindío	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Real Cundinamarca - Tigres	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLWLW
- Deportes Quindío
Colombian Primera B
04.05.26	Deportes Quindío - Tigres	1:0 ✺
29.04.26	Internacional de Palmira - Deportes Quindío	0:0 ✺
24.04.26	Deportes Quindío - Envigado	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Tigres - Deportes Quindío	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Deportes Quindío - Atlético Cali	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
04.05.26	Deportes Quindío - Tigres	1:0
18.04.26	Tigres - Deportes Quindío	0:1
16.10.25	Deportes Quindío - Tigres	2:1
03.05.25	Tigres - Deportes Quindío	2:0
27.07.24	Deportes Quindío - Tigres	3:1
09.02.24	Tigres - Deportes Quindío	0:0
05.10.23	Tigres - Deportes Quindío	0:1

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