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Current Win Probability
Deportes Quindío 28.8%
Draw 28%
Atlético Nacional 43.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.4%
26.5%
55.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18%
25.9%
56.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Quindío has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Quindío's performance.
Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Nacional might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Quindío than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Quindío that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+13.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Nacional could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
7.1%
14.3%
78.6%
Deportes Quindío - Atlético Nacional Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Atlético Nacional will win
(11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%). Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atlético Nacional will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Pabon S. (G) 19. Alvarez A. 29. Angulo Satizabal R. 18. Arango W. 20. Caicedo B. 28. Chala J. 22. Landazuri H. 8. Preciado Garcia J. A. 5. Roa S. 4. Rodrigo Moran L. 15. Urresti J.
15. Castillo H. (G) 11. Arce B. 23. Arias J. J. 19. Batista F. 33. Caicedo R. 10. Cardona E. 20. Castro J. 37. Landazuri L. 17. Salazar A. 29. Sarmiento A. 80. Zapata J.
Substitutes
3. Hurtado K. 24. Ibarguen J. 1. Jimenez M. (G) 7. Lloreda J. 17. Mosquera H. 16. Ramirez J. 2. Rovira U. 10. Vallejo J.
27. Asprilla D. 13. Candido C. 41. Marin M. 25. Marquinez L. (G) 9. Morelos A. 7. Moreno M. 38. Rengifo J. 16. Tesillo W. 36. Uribe C.
Coaches
Velasco C.
Gandolfi J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Caicedo B. ⚽, Chala J. (A),
36', Rodrigo Moran L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Arce B. ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
46', Batista F. ↓, Morelos A. ↑,
48', Roa S. 🟨,
56', Landazuri H. 🟨,
62', Urresti J. ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
63', Salazar A. 🟨,
65', Cardona E. ↓, Rengifo J. ↑,
65', Caicedo R. ↓, Tesillo W. ↑,
72', Arango W. ↓, Vallejo J. ↑,
73', 2 - 0, Caicedo B. ⚽,
76', Moreno M. 🟥,
76', Pabon S. 🟨,
79', Zapata J. 🟨,
80', 🟨,
82', 2 - 1, Sarmiento A. ⚽,
89', Angulo Satizabal R. ↓, Rovira U. ↑,
89', Rodrigo Moran L. ↓, Lloreda J. ↑,
89', Caicedo B. ↓, Ibarguen J. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 2, Sarmiento A. ⚽,
90+2', Castro J. ↓, Uribe C. ↑,
Preview
1st leg result: 0-4. 2nd leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Quindío won 0.
Deportes Quindío is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Atlético Nacional has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Deportes Quindío has had a series of away games.
Atlético Nacional is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Deportes Quindío won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Quindío won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).
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Pabon S. (G) 
Arce B. 
Batista F. 
Ramirez J. 
Gandolfi J. 
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