Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Round 9

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Leonel Sánchez Lineros (Recoleta)


	Deportes Recoleta		Deportes Antofagasta

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.5	2.62
	2.46	3.57	2.62
	2.41	3.71	2.6	Watch
	2.38	3.25	2.63
	2.38	3.34	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.69)	3.47 ↑ (3.23)	2.61 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Recoleta
38.3%

Draw
26.5%

Deportes Antofagasta
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

28.5%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

28%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Deportes Antofagasta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Recoleta than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Antofagasta than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Deportes Recoleta - Deportes Antofagasta Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Antofagasta will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Recoleta (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Recoleta (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Salazar A. (G) 3. Arismendy N. 4. Tomarelli F. 16. Viveros B. 28. Rodriguez C. 7. Provoste B. 10. Arguinarena M. 15. Baez F. 17. Carvajal N. 19. Sanchez P. 9. Estigarribia G. (C)	12. Hurtado Perez F. (C) 6. Diaz C. 22. Suarez M. 31. Ramirez S. 13. Abuhadba Z. 8. Leyton S. 10. Rojas D. 20. Cuadra A. 16. Gallegos Panozzo M. 9. Monreal J. 17. Hurtado B.
Substitutes
5. Alarcon F. 21. Alvarez G. 18. Cepeda C. 20. Gonzalez C. 30. Saavedra Saavedra F. I. 22. Vargas J. (G) 11. Viveros D.	11. Bandez J. D. 7. Bravo C. 25. Cisternas J. P. (G) 15. Ibacache A. 21. Manzano F. 18. Rozas I. 4. Tapia B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Baez F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', Arguinarena M. 🟨,
50', 0 - 1, Gallegos Panozzo M. ⚽,
59', Arismendy N. ↓, Saavedra Saavedra F. I. ↑,
61', Hurtado B. 🟨,
65', Leyton S. 🟨,
68', Leyton S. ↓, Manzano F. ↑,
68', Abuhadba Z. ↓, Ibacache A. ↑,
75', Gallegos Panozzo M. ↓, Bandez J. D. ↑,
77', Monreal J. 🟨,
78', Tomarelli F. ↓, Alarcon F. ↑,
78', Baez F. ↓, Alvarez G. ↑,
85', Sanchez P. ↓, Viveros D. ↑,
88', 0 - 2, Hurtado B. ⚽,
90+1', Hurtado Perez F. 🟨,
90+2', Manzano F. 🟨,
90+3', Viveros B. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recoleta won 0.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Recoleta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Recoleta won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Recoleta won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Antofagasta	26	11	8	7	44:26	18	41
6	Recoleta	26	11	8	7	38:34	4	41

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Recoleta
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
18.04.26	Deportes Recoleta - Curicó Unido	2:2 ✺
12.04.26	Deportes Copiapó - Deportes Recoleta	2:4 ✺
21.03.26	Rangers de Talca - Deportes Recoleta	2:4 ✺
13.03.26	Deportes Recoleta - Unión San Felipe	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes Recoleta	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 TWWWL
- Deportes Antofagasta
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
19.04.26	Deportes Antofagasta - Deportes Copiapó	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Deportes Temuco - Deportes Antofagasta	3:3 ✺
29.03.26	Deportes Antofagasta - Deportes Iquique	4:0 ✺
22.03.26	Santiago Wanderers - Deportes Antofagasta	2:2 ✺
15.03.26	Deportes Antofagasta - Unión Española	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
17.08.25	Deportes Antofagasta - Deportes Recoleta	0:0
12.04.25	Deportes Recoleta - Deportes Antofagasta	1:2
01.09.24	Deportes Recoleta - Deportes Antofagasta	2:2
21.04.24	Deportes Antofagasta - Deportes Recoleta	3:0
04.08.23	Deportes Recoleta - Deportes Antofagasta	0:1
19.03.23	Deportes Antofagasta - Deportes Recoleta	3:0

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