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Current Win Probability
Deportes Santa Cruz 38.5%
Draw 28.8%
Deportes Recoleta 32.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.1%
27.5%
27.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.1%
27.5%
27.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Santa Cruz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportes Santa Cruz's form might have worsened.
Deportes Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes Recoleta's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Santa Cruz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Recoleta than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportes Recoleta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Deportes Santa Cruz - Deportes Recoleta Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. Dobboletta J. (C) 2. Quiroz I. 19. Flores E. 5. Camisassa B. 12. Alvarado F. 4. Alucema G. 6. Orellana F. 15. Delgado J. 11. Pinto M. 35. Brito P. 9. Zeineddin N.
23. Salazar A. (G) 11. Viveros D. 5. Alarcon F. 16. Viveros B. 14. Lara I. 6. Espinoza J. 7. Provoste B. 21. Alvarez G. 20. Gonzalez C. 19. Sanchez P. 9. Estigarribia G. (C)
Substitutes
34. Castillo C. 20. Cavero H. 36. Islame Y. 10. Mederos S. 26. Moreno C. 7. Pardo C. 1. Quezada M. (G)
10. Arguinarena M. 3. Arismendy N. 17. Carvajal N. 27. Flores F. 13. Narr J. (G) 33. Riveros R. 4. Tomarelli F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
45+4', Alarcon F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Zeineddin N. 🟨,
63', Flores E. 🟨,
64', Zeineddin N. ↓, Islame Y. ↑,
64', Delgado J. ↓, Moreno C. ↑,
73', Alvarez G. ↓, Arguinarena M. ↑,
78', Estigarribia G. ↓, Riveros R. ↑,
78', Sanchez P. ↓, Flores F. ↑,
88', Espinoza J. ↓, Carvajal N. ↑,
88', Brito P. ↓, Mederos S. ↑,
90+5', Viveros B. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Santa Cruz won 0.
Deportes Santa Cruz has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Recoleta is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Deportes Santa Cruz is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Deportes Santa Cruz won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.8:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Santa Cruz won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).
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Dobboletta J. (C) 
Quiroz I. 
Islame Y. 
Mederos S. 
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