Match Info

CHILE: Segunda Division - Round 10

Date: 5 May 2024, Sunday


	Deportes Rengo		Deportes Melipilla

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.25	1.9
	3.3	3.4	2
	3.29	3.56	2
	3.2	3.3	1.95
	3.35	3.43	2.04	Watch
	3.3	3.4	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↓ (3.95)	3.39 ↓ (3.65)	1.98 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Rengo
27.4%

Draw
26.8%

Deportes Melipilla
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

25.4%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

25.1%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Rengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Deportes Melipilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportes Melipilla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Rengo than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Melipilla than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes Melipilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportes Rengo - Deportes Melipilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
59', 1 - 0, Ramirez H. ⚽,
77', 1 - 1, Rodriguez M. ⚽,
82', 2 - 1, Recabal M. (Pen),

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B).

Recent matches Rengo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Melipilla is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Melipilla could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Melipilla is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Rengo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Rengo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Rengo
Chilean Segunda Division
28.04.24	Real San Joaquín - Deportes Rengo	0:1 ✺
21.04.24	Deportes Rengo - Concón National	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes Rengo	1:3 ✺
07.04.24	Deportes Rengo - Lautaro de Buin	2:3 ✺
02.04.24	San Antonio Unido - Deportes Rengo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WLWLW
- Deportes Melipilla
Chilean Segunda Division
27.04.24	Deportes Concepción - Deportes Melipilla	1:3 ✺
20.04.24	Deportes Melipilla - Deportes Puerto Montt	0:1 ✺
13.04.24	Real San Joaquín - Deportes Melipilla	1:1 ✺
07.04.24	Deportes Melipilla - Arturo Fernández Vial	2:1 ✺
31.03.24	General Velásquez - Deportes Melipilla	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
30.09.23	Deportes Melipilla - Deportes Rengo	4:1
20.05.23	Deportes Rengo - Deportes Melipilla	1:1

Deportes Rengo - Deportes Melipilla: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide