Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 12

Date: 8 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de San Joaquín (Santiago de Chile)


	Real San Joaquín		Deportes Melipilla

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.4	1.95
	2.98	3.25	2.15
	2.95	3.45	2.18	Watch
	2.9	3.32	2.21	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↓ (3.09)	3.32 ↓ (3.38)	2.12 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real San Joaquín
30%

Draw
27.3%

Deportes Melipilla
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

26.9%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

26.6%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real San Joaquín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Deportes Melipilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real San Joaquín than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Melipilla than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Real San Joaquín - Deportes Melipilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Reyes B. (G) 2. Araya V. 3. Benavente A. 14. Duarte J. 8. Maulen J. 4. Munoz D. 6. Munoz I. 17. Perez L. 20. Pino T. 19. Reyes F. 16. Ugarte J.	34. Santelices L. (G) 16. Arenas F. 25. Basaure N. 27. Caceres B. 3. Flores E. 4. Fuentes B. 7. Inostroza B. 17. Magana C. 23. Martinez L. 6. Rodriguez M. 20. Sepulveda G.
Substitutes
15. Cabrera V. 21. Delus A. 11. Duran F. 12. Hartard E. (G) 18. Marquez B. 23. Millares J. 22. Molina H.	15. Becerra V. 1. Chacon T. (G) 30. Demateis V. 13. Escalona Armijo M. 24. Luarte G. 5. Millalen E. 33. Valencia M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Reyes F. 🟨,
45+3', Santelices L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sepulveda G. ↓, Becerra V. ↑,
46', Reyes F. ↓, Cabrera V. ↑,
66', Perez L. ↓, Duran F. ↑,
67', Basaure N. 🟨,
71', Caceres B. ↓, Demateis V. ↑,
71', Arenas F. ↓, Luarte G. ↑,
74', Maulen J. 🟨,
77', Maulen J. ↓, Delus A. ↑,
77', Pino T. ↓, Molina H. ↑,
78', Delus A. 🟨,
80', Duran F. 🟨,
82', Inostroza B. 🟨,
90+1', Reyes B. 🟨,
90+5', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 and 11).

Real San Joaquín has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Melipilla has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Melipilla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Melipilla could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Real San Joaquín won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Real San Joaquín won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real San Joaquín
Chilean Segunda Division
30.05.25	Provincial Ovalle - Real San Joaquín	0:0 ✺
25.05.25	Real San Joaquín - General Velásquez	1:2 ✺
18.05.25	Santiago City - Real San Joaquín	2:1 ✺
10.05.25	Provincial Osorno - Real San Joaquín	5:0 ✺
04.05.25	Real San Joaquín - Trasandino de Los Andes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TLLLW
- Deportes Melipilla
Chilean Cup
07.06.25	Deportes Melipilla - Unión Española	1:0 ✺
Chilean Segunda Division
01.06.25	Deportes Melipilla - Trasandino de Los Andes	4:0 ✺
25.05.25	San Antonio Unido - Deportes Melipilla	3:2 ✺
11.05.25	Deportes Melipilla - Brujas Salamanca	1:2 ✺
03.05.25	Deportes Linares - Deportes Melipilla	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
24.08.24	Deportes Melipilla - Real San Joaquín	0:0
13.04.24	Real San Joaquín - Deportes Melipilla	1:1
12.08.23	Real San Joaquín - Deportes Melipilla	0:1
15.04.23	Deportes Melipilla - Real San Joaquín	2:1

Real San Joaquín - Deportes Melipilla: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide