Match Info

CHILE: Segunda Division - Round 9

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday


	Deportes Concepción		Deportes Melipilla

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	2.55
	2.5	3.25	2.55
	2.52	3.22	2.65
	2.52	3.22	2.65
	2.4	3.25	2.45
	2.51	3.31	2.63
	2.4	3.4	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.48)	3.25 ↓ (3.4)	2.58 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Concepción
36.8%

Draw
28%

Deportes Melipilla
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

27.2%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

26.8%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Concepción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Deportes Melipilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Concepción than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Melipilla than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Deportes Concepción - Deportes Melipilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
39', 0 - 1, Taiva B. ⚽,
44', 0 - 2, Ovalle J. ⚽,
45+3', 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', 🟥,
72', 0 - 3, Becica A. ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B).

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Deportes Concepción won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportes Concepción won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Concepción
Chilean Segunda Division
21.04.24	Provincial Ovalle - Deportes Concepción	2:1 ✺
14.04.24	Deportes Concepción - Arturo Fernández Vial	3:2 ✺
06.04.24	Real San Joaquín - Deportes Concepción	0:1 ✺
30.03.24	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes Concepción	1:1 ✺
25.03.24	Deportes Concepción - Deportes Linares	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWWTW
- Deportes Melipilla
Chilean Segunda Division
20.04.24	Deportes Melipilla - Deportes Puerto Montt	0:1 ✺
13.04.24	Real San Joaquín - Deportes Melipilla	1:1 ✺
07.04.24	Deportes Melipilla - Arturo Fernández Vial	2:1 ✺
31.03.24	General Velásquez - Deportes Melipilla	0:5 ✺
24.03.24	Deportes Melipilla - San Antonio Unido	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
15.10.23	Deportes Melipilla - Deportes Concepción	2:1
04.06.23	Deportes Concepción - Deportes Melipilla	1:3

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