Match Info

Date: 26 July 2022, Tuesday


	Deportes Santa Cruz		Arturo Fernández Vial

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.9	2.65
	2.43	3.1	2.5
	2.55	2.95	2.65
	2.64	2.74	2.72
	2.62	2.75	2.75
	2.66	3	2.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.13)	2.91 ↓ (3.44)	2.67 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Santa Cruz
35.1%

Draw
31.1%

Arturo Fernández Vial
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

26.7%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

27.8%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Santa Cruz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportes Santa Cruz's form might have worsened.

Arturo Fernández Vial has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Santa Cruz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arturo Fernández Vial than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.6%	74.2%	3.2%

Deportes Santa Cruz - Arturo Fernández Vial Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Deportes Santa Cruz will win (votes: 7 - 22.6%). Fernandez Vial will win (votes: 1 - 3.2%). It will Tie (votes: 23 - 74.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 58.8% – 89.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 and 16).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Deportes Santa Cruz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Deportes Santa Cruz won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportes Santa Cruz won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Santa Cruz
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
16.07.22	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Santa Cruz	0:0 ✺
08.07.22	Deportes Santa Cruz - Santiago Morning	1:0 ✺
02.07.22	Deportes Temuco - Deportes Santa Cruz	1:1 ✺
02.06.22	Cobreloa - Deportes Santa Cruz	1:0 ✺
27.05.22	Deportes Santa Cruz - Santiago Wanderers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 TWTLW
- CD Arturo Fernández Vial
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
10.07.22	Arturo Fernández Vial - Deportes Recoleta	0:0 ✺
02.07.22	Rangers de Talca - Arturo Fernández Vial	1:3 ✺
Chilean Cup
25.06.22	OHiggins - Arturo Fernández Vial	2:0 ✺
19.06.22	Arturo Fernández Vial - OHiggins	1:0 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
31.05.22	Arturo Fernández Vial - Unión San Felipe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
07.03.22	Arturo Fernández Vial - Deportes Santa Cruz	1:0
22.08.21	Arturo Fernández Vial - Deportes Santa Cruz	2:1
24.07.21	Deportes Santa Cruz - Arturo Fernández Vial	2:3

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