The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cobreloa 57.2%
Draw 24.1%
Deportes Santa Cruz 18.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.4%
22.1%
14.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.1%
23.1%
13.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cobreloa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cobreloa's form might have worsened.
Deportes Santa Cruz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cobreloa than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cobreloa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Cobreloa - Deportes Santa Cruz Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Araya Tobar H. E. (G) 4. San Juan B. 5. Gonzalez R. (C) 6. Tapia M. 17. Tapia D. 29. Gatica J. 21. Muga C. 32. Velazco F. 22. Delgado A. 11. Gotti G. 10. Insaurralde C.
29. Dobboletta J. (C) 4. Alucema G. 6. Orellana F. 12. Alvarado F. 14. Plaza D. 18. Herrera H. 20. Cavero H. 22. Tati D. 23. Barrios N. 26. Moreno C. 30. Arias D.
Substitutes
9. Conelli V. 37. Duma J. 3. Gonzalez Y. 20. Matamoros F. 19. Navarro Y. 27. Sandoval M. 30. Tapia D. (G)
34. Castillo C. 19. Flores E. 16. Gonzalez J. 10. Mederos S. 28. Quezada M. 2. Quiroz I. 9. Zeineddin N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
22', 1 - 0, Gotti G. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Arias D. ⚽,
33', 2 - 1, Tapia M. ⚽,
38', Gatica J. 🟨,
42', Insaurralde C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Moreno C. ↓, Quiroz I. ↑,
61', 2 - 2, Quiroz I. ⚽,
62', Insaurralde C. ↓, Duma J. ↑,
67', Herrera H. ↓, Mederos S. ↑,
72', Cavero H. 🟨,
74', Muga C. 🟨,
75', Barrios N. ↓, Flores E. ↑,
76', Gatica J. ↓, Sandoval M. ↑,
81', 3 - 2, Gonzalez R. ⚽,
84', 4 - 2, Gotti G. ⚽,
85', Plaza D. ↓, Zeineddin N. ↑,
85', Tati D. ↓, Castillo C. ↑,
88', Delgado A. ↓, Conelli V. ↑,
88', Tapia M. ↓, Gonzalez Y. ↑,
88', Velazco F. ↓, Matamoros F. ↑,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cobreloa won 2.
Recent performances by Cobreloa have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Deportes Santa Cruz is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
In this match, Cobreloa is a strong favorite.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Cobreloa won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Cobreloa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 0.8:0.6).