The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Santa Cruz 35%
Draw 26.6%
Santiago Wanderers 38.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.4%
28.3%
34.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.7%
26.7%
32.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Santa Cruz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Santiago Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santiago Wanderers than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santiago Wanderers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Deportes Santa Cruz - Santiago Wanderers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. Dobboletta J. (C) 5. Camisassa B. 22. Tati D. 19. Flores E. 12. Alvarado F. 2. Quiroz I. 14. Plaza D. 4. Alucema G. 18. Herrera H. 9. Zeineddin N. 23. Barrios N.
36. Martinez B. (G) 31. Valenzuela C. 16. Navarro P. 18. Felipe S. 7. Herrera A. 14. Ponce C. 38. Portilla D. 8. Silva J. 5. Navarro L. (C) 37. San Martin D. 23. Flores I.
Substitutes
34. Castillo C. 15. Delgado J. 16. Gonzalez J. 3. Guerrero N. 1. Henriquez M. (G) 10. Mederos S. 26. Moreno C.
9. Camarda M. 24. Dubo A. 22. Javier Parraguez 10. Luna J. 25. Terrazas F. (G) 32. Vargas V. 15. Villarroel M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Plaza D. 🟨,
18', 0 - 1, Navarro L. ⚽,
26', Portilla D. 🟨,
28', Camisassa B. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Portilla D. ↓, Villarroel M. ↑,
46', San Martin D. ↓, Camarda M. ↑,
47', 0 - 2, Ponce C. ⚽,
57', 1 - 2, Zeineddin N. ⚽,
62', Barrios N. ↓, Mederos S. ↑,
64', Flores I. ↓, Dubo A. ↑,
65', Dubo A. 🟥,
70', Quiroz I. 🟨,
73', Plaza D. ↓, Delgado J. ↑,
74', Ponce C. ↓, Vargas V. ↑,
82', 1 - 3, Vargas V. ⚽,
85', Camarda M. ↓, Luna J. ↑,
88', Alvarado F. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
88', Herrera H. ↓, Moreno C. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Santa Cruz won 1.
Recent performances by Deportes Santa Cruz have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Santiago Wanderers is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Deportes Santa Cruz won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Santa Cruz won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
S. Wanderers
26
12
8
6
41:28
13
44
14
CD Santa Cruz
26
4
10
12
27:40
-13
22
Last Results with these Odds
Santiago Wanderers - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 34.27%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
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Dobboletta J. (C) 
Tati D. 
Felipe S. 
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