The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Santa Cruz 43.6%
Draw 27%
Deportes Magallanes 29.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39%
28.6%
32.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.4%
28.9%
32.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Santa Cruz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
Deportes Magallanes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Magallanes than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Deportes Santa Cruz - Deportes Magallanes Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. Dobboletta J. (G) 2. Quiroz I. 5. Camisassa B. 19. Flores E. 31. Romero N. 8. Acevedo D. 14. Plaza D. 4. Alucema G. 15. Delgado J. 30. Arias D. 23. Barrios N.
1. Munoz J. (G) 30. Salinas Flores H. 4. Vasquez M. (C) 22. Meneses C. 3. Walters A. 32. Coronel S. 28. Guzman G. 21. Quiroz J. 11. Fredes M. 9. Peraza F. 19. Farfan R.
Substitutes
20. Cavero H. 1. Henriquez M. (G) 6. Orellana F. 7. Pardo C. 11. Pinto M. 22. Tati D. 9. Zeineddin N.
35. Cabezas V. 6. James J. 5. Liuzzi B. 20. Neira E. 17. Olguin M. (G) 36. Sanzana I. 24. Yanez F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Camisassa B. 🟨,
35', Salinas Flores H. 🟨,
40', Vasquez M. 🟨,
45+1', Flores E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
56', Flores E. ↓, Cavero H. ↑,
62', Guzman G. ↓, Liuzzi B. ↑,
62', Peraza F. ↓, Cabezas V. ↑,
64', Quiroz I. ↓, Tati D. ↑,
65', Acevedo D. ↓, Pinto M. ↑,
72', 0 - 1, Salinas Flores H. ⚽,
74', Coronel S. ↓, Neira E. ↑,
74', Farfan R. ↓, Sanzana I. ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Arias D. (Penalty Awarded),
80', Quiroz J. 🟨,
89', 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 2, Salinas Flores H. ⚽,
90+2', Fredes M. ↓, James J. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 2, Arias D. ⚽,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Santa Cruz won 3.
Recent form of Deportes Santa Cruz has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Magallanes's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Deportes Santa Cruz won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:25. (average 1.2:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Santa Cruz won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.9:1.4).