Match Info

Copa Chile - Round 4

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal Joaquín Muñoz García (Santa Cruz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	TNT Sports


	Deportes Santa Cruz		Palestino

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.2	2
	3.10	3.10	2.05
	3.4	3.2	2.05
	3.59	3.37	2.04
	3.65	2.99	2.14	Watch
	3.55	3.3	1.98
	3.67	3.26	2.04	Watch
	3.35	3.2	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↑ (3.19)	3.2 ↑ (3.15)	2.04 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Deportes Santa Cruz
26.3%

Draw
28.7%

Palestino
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

28.5%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

29.3%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Santa Cruz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Palestino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Deportes Santa Cruz - Palestino Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Palestino will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Dobboletta J. (C) 26. Moreno C. 22. Tati D. 20. Cavero H. 12. Alvarado F. 14. Plaza D. 4. Alucema G. 6. Orellana F. 16. Gonzalez J. 9. Zeineddin N. 11. Pinto M.	25. Perez Kirby S. A. (G) 29. Garguez Gomez I. A. 3. Roco E. 16. Bizama J. 28. Zuniga D. 21. Araya M. 5. Fernandez J. 18. Gallegos S. 7. Carrasco B. (C) 20. Tapia Paez G. 9. Fernandez R.
Substitutes
30. Arias D. 23. Barrios N. 33. Calderon N. 13. Faundez H. (G) 32. Henriquez J. 1. Henriquez M. (G) 18. Herrera H. 24. Miranda B. 25. Moya G.	4. Ceza Gavilan A. A. 34. Cienfuegos M. 13. Gomez A. 23. Leon J. 26. Mateluna M. (G) 8. Meza N. 27. Munder C. 17. Ruz G. 24. Salgado D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Plaza D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Araya M. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
50', Fernandez R. 🟨,
55', Orellana F. 🟨,
56', Bizama J. 🟨,
63', Gonzalez J. ↓, Barrios N. ↑,
64', Gomez A. 🟨,
69', Carrasco B. ↓, Munder C. ↑,
69', Zuniga D. ↓, Leon J. ↑,
81', Orellana F. ↓, Herrera H. ↑,
81', Zeineddin N. ↓, Arias D. ↑,
83', Garguez Gomez I. A. 🟨,
85', Garguez Gomez I. A. ↓, Salgado D. ↑,
85', Fernandez J. ↓, Meza N. ↑,
90+3', Moreno C. ↓, Miranda B. ↑,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Palestino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Palestino will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Deportes Santa Cruz - the odds 3.19 are the expected chance of winning is 28.16%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Santa Cruz
Chilean Cup
19.06.26	Audax Italiano - Deportes Santa Cruz	0:1 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
06.06.26	Rangers de Talca - Deportes Santa Cruz	0:1 ✺
01.06.26	Deportes Santa Cruz - Deportes Copiapó	1:1 ✺
24.05.26	Deportes Antofagasta - Deportes Santa Cruz	1:1 ✺
18.05.26	Deportes Santa Cruz - Deportes Temuco	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WWTTL
- CD Palestino Santiago
Chilean Cup
23.06.26	Palestino - Audax Italiano	1:2 ✺
20.06.26	Palestino - Deportes Magallanes	4:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
13.06.26	Everton de Viña - Palestino	1:2 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
07.06.26	OHiggins - Palestino	2:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
31.05.26	Palestino - Audax Italiano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWLT

Upcoming Matches