The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Palestino 40.6%
Draw 28.1%
Audax Italiano 31.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.9%
29.2%
27.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.4%
28.2%
27%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palestino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
Audax Italiano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Audax Italiano than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
40%
0%
Palestino - Audax Italiano Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Palestino will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Perez Kirby S. A. (G) 21. Araya M. 7. Carrasco B. (C) 4. Ceza Gavilan A. A. 19. Da Silva N. 2. Espinoza Hevia V. A. 18. Gallegos S. 13. Gomez A. 23. Leon J. 8. Meza N. 3. Roco E.
1. Ahumada T. (C) 21. Chiaverano G. 9. Coelho D. 13. Ferrario E. 27. Fuentes M. 20. Jimenez M. 28. Mateos F. 14. Monreal D. 16. Rojas Munoz O. J. 6. Sandoval M. 2. Zenteno V.
Substitutes
30. Alegria I. 16. Bizama J. 34. Cienfuegos M. 5. Fernandez J. 9. Fernandez R. 26. Mateluna M. (G) 15. Montes Romero F. T. 27. Munder C. 20. Tapia Paez G.
30. Ahumada J. 31. Ballesteros J. M. (G) 33. Fuenzalida I. 19. Leyton T. 17. Loyola F. 37. Pasten I. 35. Rebolledo R. 11. Troyansky F. 22. Valdes M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
31', Da Silva N. 🟥,
37', 0 - 1, Perez Kirby S. A. (Own goal),
45+2', Gomez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Mateos F. ↓, Loyola F. ↑,
46', Gomez A. ↓, Munder C. ↑,
46', Gomez A. ↓, Munder C. ↑,
46', Mateos F. ↓, Loyola F. ↑,
52', Loyola F. 🟨,
55', Leon J. 🟨,
56', Rojas Munoz O. J. ↓, Rebolledo R. ↑,
61', Zenteno V. 🟨,
70', Coelho D. ↓, Troyansky F. ↑,
70', Ceza Gavilan A. A. ↓, Montes Romero F. T. ↑,
70', Araya M. ↓, Alegria I. ↑,
76', Fuentes M. ↓, Fuenzalida I. ↑,
76', Fuenzalida I. 🟨,
81', 1 - 1, Roco E. ⚽, Leon J. (A),
83', Meza N. 🟨,
84', Carrasco B. ↓, Fernandez R. ↑,
89', Espinoza Hevia V. A. 🟨,
89', Gallegos S. ↓, Bizama J. ↑,
90+2', Sandoval M. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 2, Troyansky F. ⚽, Zenteno V. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palestino won 0.
Palestino has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Audax Italiano is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Audax Italiano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Palestino will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Palestino won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:28. (average 1.5:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Palestino won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.1:1.4).