The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Antofagasta 55.8%
Draw 23.4%
Deportes Santa Cruz 20.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.6%
26.9%
26.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.5%
25.8%
25.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Antofagasta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Antofagasta's performance.
Deportes Santa Cruz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportes Santa Cruz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Antofagasta than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Antofagasta that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
0%
16.7%
Deportes Antofagasta - Deportes Santa Cruz Predictions
Users Predictions:
Deportes Antofagasta will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Hurtado Perez F. (C) 22. Suarez M. 6. Diaz C. 31. Ramirez S. 13. Abuhadba Z. 20. Cuadra A. 21. Manzano F. 7. Bravo C. 16. Gallegos Panozzo M. 9. Monreal J. 17. Hurtado B.
29. Dobboletta J. (C) 2. Quiroz I. 3. Guerrero N. 12. Alvarado F. 20. Cavero H. 22. Tati D. 4. Alucema G. 14. Plaza D. 18. Herrera H. 23. Barrios N. 30. Arias D.
Substitutes
11. Bandez J. D. 14. Campillay K. 26. Hinojosa S. 15. Ibacache A. 1. Marin C. (G) 10. Rojas D. 4. Tapia B.
8. Acevedo D. 15. Delgado J. 26. Moreno C. 6. Orellana F. 11. Pinto M. 28. Quezada M. 9. Zeineddin N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Monreal J. (Penalty Awarded),
39', Hurtado B. 🟨,
41', Abuhadba Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gallegos Panozzo M. ↓, Rojas D. ↑,
46', Bravo C. ↓, Campillay K. ↑,
47', Alvarado F. 🟨,
56', Herrera H. ↓, Pinto M. ↑,
69', Alucema G. ↓, Acevedo D. ↑,
72', Abuhadba Z. ↓, Ibacache A. ↑,
74', Diaz C. 🟨,
81', Quiroz I. ↓, Delgado J. ↑,
81', Barrios N. ↓, Zeineddin N. ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Arias D. ⚽,
84', Hurtado B. ↓, Bandez J. D. ↑,
85', Manzano F. ↓, Hinojosa S. ↑,
86', Delgado J. 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Antofagasta won 2.
Antofagasta is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Deportes Santa Cruz is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Antofagasta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Antofagasta is the team to beat.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Antofagasta won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.2:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Antofagasta won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).