Match Info

Date: 10 December 2020, Thursday


	Deportes Valdivia		Barnechea

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	2.9
	2.25	3.05	2.75
	2.37	3.05	2.8
	2.51	3.21	2.95
	2.4	3.1	2.8
	2.38	3.3	2.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.14)	3.14 ↓ (3.36)	2.85 ↓ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Valdivia
38.7%

Draw
29.2%

Barnechea
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

27.8%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

18.4%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Valdivia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Barnechea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Valdivia than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Valdivia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnechea than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barnechea could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportes Valdivia - Barnechea Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 11 and 13).

Deportes Valdivia is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Barnechea is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Barnechea could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Deportes Valdivia have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Deportes Valdivia won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportes Valdivia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Valdivia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
08.12.20	Deportes Valdivia - Calamonte	1:3 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
03.12.20	Deportes Valdivia - San Marcos de Arica	2:1 ✺
30.11.20	Unión San Felipe - Deportes Valdivia	2:1 ✺
27.11.20	Deportes Valdivia - Ñublense	2:2 ✺
24.11.20	Deportes Valdivia - Deportes Melipilla	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLTL
- Barnechea
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
04.12.20	Unión San Felipe - Barnechea	2:0 ✺
25.11.20	Barnechea - Deportes Magallanes	2:1 ✺
21.11.20	Cobreloa - Barnechea	2:0
16.11.20	Barnechea - Deportes Puerto Montt	1:1 ✺
12.11.20	Deportes Santa Cruz - Barnechea	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
14.09.20	Barnechea - Deportes Valdivia	3:3
17.03.19	Deportes Valdivia - Barnechea	2:1
24.08.18	Barnechea - Deportes Valdivia	1:0
Chilean Cup
13.07.18	Barnechea - Deportes Valdivia	2:2 penalties
08.07.18	Deportes Valdivia - Barnechea	0:1
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
13.05.18	Deportes Valdivia - Barnechea	1:1
29.09.17	Barnechea - Deportes Valdivia	2:0

Deportes Valdivia - Barnechea: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide