Match Info

Date: 30 November 2020, Monday


	Unión San Felipe		Deportes Valdivia

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.3	3.8
	1.63	3.1	5
	1.73	3.15	4.6
	1.75	3.39	5.22
	1.73	3.2	4.8
	1.71	3.52	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (2.02)	3.28 ↑ (3.2)	4.74 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión San Felipe
52.8%

Draw
27.9%

Deportes Valdivia
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

28.1%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

21%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión San Felipe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión San Felipe's performance.

Deportes Valdivia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportes Valdivia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión San Felipe than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión San Felipe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Valdivia than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Unión San Felipe - Deportes Valdivia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion to Primera B (Promotion to Play Offs: Quartertofinals) and 13).

Recent matches Unión San Felipe is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Deportes Valdivia is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Deportes Valdivia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Unión San Felipe is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Unión San Felipe won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Unión San Felipe won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión San Felipe
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
25.11.20	Unión San Felipe - Cobreloa	0:0 ✺
20.11.20	Deportes Temuco - Unión San Felipe	1:0 ✺
12.11.20	Deportes Magallanes - Unión San Felipe	1:1 ✺
08.11.20	Unión San Felipe - Deportes Puerto Montt	2:1 ✺
04.11.20	Deportes Santa Cruz - Unión San Felipe	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLTWL
- Deportes Valdivia
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
27.11.20	Deportes Valdivia - Ñublense	2:2 ✺
24.11.20	Deportes Valdivia - Deportes Melipilla	0:1 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
15.11.20	Deportes Valdivia - Plasencia	1:1 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
03.11.20	Deportes Copiapó - Deportes Valdivia	1:0 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
01.11.20	Coria - Deportes Valdivia	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
10.03.20	Deportes Valdivia - Unión San Felipe	2:2
23.02.19	Unión San Felipe - Deportes Valdivia	0:1
29.07.18	Deportes Valdivia - Unión San Felipe	0:2
21.04.18	Unión San Felipe - Deportes Valdivia	1:0
03.09.17	Deportes Valdivia - Unión San Felipe	1:0
29.04.17	Unión San Felipe - Deportes Valdivia	1:2
29.10.16	Deportes Valdivia - Unión San Felipe	0:3

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