Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Clausura - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday


	Deportiva Venados		Aguacateros de Peribán

	1	X	2
	2.86	2.92	2.41
	2.81	3.2	2.38	Watch
	2.74	3.34	2.48	Watch
	2.45	3.5	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.38)	3.24 ↓ (3.5)	2.47 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportiva Venados
34%

Draw
28.5%

Aguacateros de Peribán
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

25.6%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

25.7%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportiva Venados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Aguacateros de Peribán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportiva Venados than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aguacateros de Peribán than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Deportiva Venados - Aguacateros de Peribán Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Rodriguez J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+4', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 and 1).

Recent matches Deportiva Venados is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aguacateros in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Deportiva Venados could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Deportiva Venados won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 3:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Deportiva Venados won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportiva Venados
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
12.04.25	Deportiva Venados - Inter Playa Del Carmen	3:1 ✺
05.04.25	Deportiva Venados - Petroleros Salamanca	4:0 ✺
29.03.25	Irapuato - Deportiva Venados	3:1 ✺
22.03.25	Deportiva Venados - Montañeses	0:0 ✺
14.03.25	Faraones de Texcoco - Deportiva Venados	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WWLTL
- Aguacateros de Peribán FC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
29.03.25	Mexicali - Aguacateros de Peribán	1:2 ✺
22.03.25	Aguacateros de Peribán - Halcones	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Zacatepec Siglo - Aguacateros de Peribán	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Aguacateros de Peribán - Canamy	7:1 ✺
28.02.25	Aguacateros de Peribán - Gavilanes de Matamoros	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
16.03.24	Aguacateros de Peribán - Deportiva Venados	2:3
14.10.23	Deportiva Venados - Aguacateros de Peribán	3:1

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