Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 15

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Riazor (La Coruña)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Deportivo A Coruña		Ceuta

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.8	4.5	Watch
	1.72	3.7	4.35	Watch
	1.67	4.01	4.92
	1.63	4.10	4.96	Watch
	1.73	3.88	4.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.69)	3.9 ↑ (3.87)	4.71 ↓ (4.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Deportivo A Coruña
55.9%

Draw
24.2%

Ceuta
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

24.3%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

23.5%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo A Coruña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo A Coruña than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.3%	0%	6.7%

Deportivo A Coruña - Ceuta Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Deportivo A Coruña will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Deportivo A Coruña will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Parreno G. (G) 19. Cruz Luismi 4. Noubi L. 15. Loureiro M. 5. Barcia D. 12. Quagliata G. 8. Villares D. 20. Jurado J. 21. Soriano M. 10. Hernandez Y. 7. Mulattieri S.	13. Vallejo G. (G) 23. Anuar 6. Hernandez C. 15. Gonzalez D. 3. Matos Jose 19. Jamelli 14. Bodiger Y. 5. Youness 18. de la Fuente K. 9. Fernandez Sanchez M. 22. Kone K.
Substitutes
3. Comas A. 27. Fernandez S. 16. Gragera J. 17. Herrera C. 35. Lopez R. 11. Mella D. 32. Nsongo B. 6. Patino C. 13. Puerto E. (G) 22. Stoichkov 38. Teijo Q.	7. Ahmed A. 17. Almenara G. 26. Bassinga A. 24. Cantero Y. 4. Caparros A. 20. Escudero A. 1. Lopez P. (G) 12. Obeng S. 11. Ortuno J. 16. Redruello Nimo C. 10. Rodriguez C. 8. Zalazar K.
Coaches
Hidalgo A.	Romero J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', Noubi L. 🟨,
34', Noubi L. ↓, Comas A. ↑,
40', 1 - 0, Hernandez Y. ⚽, Cruz Luismi (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', Mulattieri S. ↓, Stoichkov ↑,
60', Cruz Luismi ↓, Mella D. ↑,
62', Youness ↓, Bassinga A. ↑,
63', 2 - 0, Stoichkov ⚽, Barcia D. (A),
77', 2 - 1, Fernandez Sanchez M. ⚽, Anuar (A),
78', de la Fuente K. ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
79', Bassinga A. ↓, Ahmed A. ↑,
79', Matos Jose ↓, Redruello Nimo C. ↑,
79', Jamelli ↓, Zalazar K. ↑,
81', Jurado J. ↓, Herrera C. ↑,
81', Soriano M. ↓, Patino C. ↑,
90', Herrera C. 🟨,
90+2', Comas A. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 13).

Deportivo is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ceuta has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Deportivo is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Deportivo: Bachmann D. (Injury) Escudero S. (Injury) Navarro X. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Ceuta: Bassinga A. (Injury) Sanchez M. (Injury) Sanchez S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Deportivo: Soriano M. (Injury)

We predict that Deportivo will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Deportivo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Deportivo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo A Coruña
Spanish LaLiga2
16.11.25	Córdoba - Deportivo A Coruña	1:3 ✺
08.11.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Leonesa	3:0 ✺
02.11.25	Zaragoza - Deportivo A Coruña	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.25	Sámano - Deportivo A Coruña	1:5 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
26.10.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Valladolid	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWWT
- AD Ceuta
Spanish LaLiga2
16.11.25	Ceuta - Leganés	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Córdoba - Ceuta	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	La Unión - Ceuta	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
25.10.25	Leonesa - Ceuta	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Ceuta - Mirandés	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
23.04.23	Deportivo A Coruña - Ceuta	1:0
18.12.22	Ceuta - Deportivo A Coruña	1:2

Upcoming Matches