Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 12

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Castalia (Castellón de la Plana)

Referee: Arcediano D. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Castellón		Málaga

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.9	4.75	Watch
	1.65	3.85	4.55	Watch
	1.70	4.01	4.55	Watch
	1.68	3.85	4.7	Watch
	1.72	3.9	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.7)	3.9 ↓ (4.01)	4.61 ↑ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellón
55.8%

Draw
23.9%

Málaga
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

23.6%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

22.8%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Castellón - Málaga Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Castellón will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Málaga will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Málaga (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Matthys R. (G) 22. Mellot J. 3. Brignani F. 17. Ruiz S. (C) 12. Alcazar 25. Ronaldo 8. Barri 16. Cipenga B. 21. Calatrava A. 18. Santiago P. 19. Jakobsen A.	1. Herrero A. (C) 31. Rafita 16. Murillo D. 20. Montero J. 14. Garcia V. 8. Juanpe 22. Lorenzo D. 10. Larrubia D. 12. Dotor C. 24. Lobete J. 17. Jauregi E.
Substitutes
1. Abedzadeh A. (G) 11. Aurelio D. 9. Camara O. 29. De Nipoti T. 6. Doue M. 15. Gerenabarrena B. 14. Gil O. 7. Mabil A. 23. Mamah K. 20. Markanich N. 4. Sienra A. 10. Suero I.	7. Abaida H. 25. Dorrio J. 2. Gabilondo J. 4. Galilea E. 13. Lopez C. (G) 23. Merino I. 11. Munoz J. 35. Ochoa A. 37. Rodriguez R. 18. Sanchez D.
Coaches
Hernandez P.	Pellicer S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Brignani F. 🟨,
45+1', Rafita 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Ronaldo ↓, Doue M. ↑,
46', Mellot J. 🟨,
56', 0 - 1, Jauregi E. (Pen),
62', Ruiz S. 🟨,
64', Barri ↓, Suero I. ↑,
64', Ruiz S. ↓, Sienra A. ↑,
64', Santiago P. ↓, Mamah K. ↑,
66', Montero J. 🟨,
68', Larrubia D. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
69', Dotor C. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
76', Lorenzo D. 🟨,
76', Brignani F. ↓, Camara O. ↑,
82', Lobete J. ↓, Dorrio J. ↑,
82', Lorenzo D. ↓, Galilea E. ↑,
87', Doue M. 🟨,
88', Sienra A. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 1, Camara O. ⚽, Suero I. (A),
90+9', 2 - 1, Doue M. ⚽, Alcazar (A),
90+10', Doue M. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castellón won 3.

Castellón has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Málaga has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Castellón is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Málaga: Brasanac D. (Red Card) Diarra M. (Knee Injury) Luismi (Face Injury) Nino A. (Ankle Injury) Pastor A. (Knee Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Castellón won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Castellón won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Castellón
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.25	Antoniano - Castellón	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
26.10.25	Almería - Castellón	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Castellón - Albacete Balompié	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Eibar - Castellón	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Castellón - Sporting de Gijón	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLLTW
- Málaga CF
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.25	Estepona - Málaga	1:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
26.10.25	Málaga - FC Andorra	4:1 ✺
19.10.25	Leganés - Málaga	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Málaga - Deportivo A Coruña	3:0 ✺
05.10.25	Racing Santander - Málaga	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
27.04.25	Málaga - Castellón	1:0
01.12.24	Castellón - Málaga	2:0
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
21.01.24	Málaga - Castellón	0:1
26.08.23	Castellón - Málaga	2:1
Spanish LaLiga2
30.05.21	Málaga - Castellón	3:0
19.09.20	Castellón - Málaga	0:1

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