Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 11

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Riazor (La Coruña)

Referee: Palencia D. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 4
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	TSN+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Indonesia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Serbia	Arena Sport 5
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Thailand	beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Deportivo A Coruña		Valladolid

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.5	3.7	Watch
	1.95	3.35	3.65	Watch
	2.02	3.53	3.87
	2.06	3.44	3.55	Watch
	1.99	3.4	3.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.06)	3.44 (3.44)	3.69 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo A Coruña
47.3%

Draw
27.3%

Valladolid
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

27.5%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

25.7%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo A Coruña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo A Coruña than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	58.3%	0%

Deportivo A Coruña - Valladolid Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Deportivo will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Valladolid (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Valladolid (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Parreno G. (G) 11. Mella D. 4. Noubi L. 15. Loureiro M. 5. Barcia D. 12. Quagliata G. 21. Soriano M. 8. Villares D. (C) 22. Stoichkov 7. Mulattieri S. 10. Hernandez Y.	13. Guilherme Fernandes (G) 14. Alejo I. 15. Tomeo P. 4. Torres D. 3. Bueno G. 22. Peter Federico 24. Juric S. 21. Ponceau J. 17. Biuk S. 10. Marcos Andre 9. Latasa J.
Substitutes
3. Comas A. 19. Cruz Luismi 9. Eddahchouri Z. 16. Gragera J. 17. Herrera C. 20. Jurado J. 35. Lopez R. 31. Midon D. 6. Patino C. 13. Puerto E. (G) 25. Rios H. (G) 36. Vidal Maria I.	1. Aceves A. (G) 12. Alani I. 20. Chuki 18. Delgado J. 23. Jaouab M. 6. Lachuer M. 16. Maroto M. 8. Meseguer Cavas V. A. 28. Moreno X. 11. Ndiaye A. 5. Sanchez J. 2. Trilli
Coaches
Hidalgo A.	Almada G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', Barcia D. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Latasa J. (Pen),
43', Quagliata G. 🟨,
45+1', Marcos Andre 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Barcia D. ↓, Comas A. ↑,
50', Marcos Andre 🟨,
59', Quagliata G. ↓, Cruz Luismi ↑,
67', Stoichkov ↓, Eddahchouri Z. ↑,
73', Mulattieri S. 🟨,
77', Villares D. ↓, Herrera C. ↑,
79', Latasa J. 🟨,
81', Ponceau J. ↓, Alani I. ↑,
86', Peter Federico ↓, Chuki ↑,
89', Biuk S. ↓, Ndiaye A. ↑,
89', Bueno G. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
90+8', 1 - 1, Hernandez Y. (Pen),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 9).

In recent matches, Deportivo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Valladolid is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Deportivo could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Deportivo: Bachmann D. (Injury) Navarro X. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Valladolid: Canos S. (Muscle Injury) Garriel I. (Knee Injury) Ndiaye A. (Face Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Deportivo won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo A Coruña
Spanish LaLiga2
19.10.25	Racing Santander - Deportivo A Coruña	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Málaga - Deportivo A Coruña	3:0 ✺
04.10.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Almería	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Eibar - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1 ✺
19.09.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Huesca	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLTTW
- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga2
19.10.25	Valladolid - Sporting de Gijón	2:3 ✺
12.10.25	Burgos - Valladolid	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Valladolid - Mirandés	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Valladolid - Leonesa	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Albacete Balompié - Valladolid	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
11.05.13	Valladolid - Deportivo A Coruña	1:0
17.12.12	Deportivo A Coruña - Valladolid	0:0
Spanish LaLiga2
06.05.12	Deportivo A Coruña - Valladolid	1:1

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