Match Info

LaLiga - Round 3

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Mendizorrotza (Vitoria-Gasteiz) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Diaz I. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 4
Argentina	16:30	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	23:30	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Austria	21:30	Laola1
Belarus	22:30	Belarus 5
Bolivia	15:30	ESPN 4
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:30	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	16:30	SportyNet
Canada	15:30	fubo Sports Network
Colombia	14:30	ESPN 4
Croatia	21:30	SportKlub 3
Cyprus	22:30	Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech Republic	21:30	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	21:30	Disney+
Ecuador	14:30	ESPN 4
Finland	22:30	Disney+
France	21:30	DAZN France, Disney+
Germany	21:30	DAZN Deutsch, Laola1
Greece	22:30	COSMOTE Sport 5
Hungary	21:30	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Israel	22:30	ONE Sport
Italy	21:30	DAZN Italia
Malta	21:30	TSN Malta 4
Mexico	13:30	Sky Sport
Norway	21:30	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Paraguay	15:30	ESPN 4
Peru	14:30	Disney+, ESPN 4
Portugal	20:30	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Russia	22:30	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV
Serbia	21:30	Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	21:30	Nova Sport 5, Voyo
Spain	21:30	DAZN LaLiga
Sweden	21:30	Disney+
Turkey	22:30	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	22:30	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United Kingdom	20:30	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	16:30	Disney+
Usa	15:30	ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	15:30	Disney+, ESPN 4


	Deportivo Alavés		Villarreal

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.5	2.25	Watch
	3.10	3.40	2.25
	3.05	3.4	2.25	Watch
	3.1	3.6	2.39
	3.06	3.46	2.32	Watch
	3.15	3.4	2.3
	3.17	3.57	2.3	Watch
	3.15	3.5	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.89)	3.48 ↓ (3.61)	2.3 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Alavés
30.8%

Draw
27.5%

Villarreal
41.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.9%

26.3%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

26.9%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Alavés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.1%	17%	67.9%

Deportivo Alavés - Villarreal Predictions

Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Alavés will win (votes: 8 - 15.4%). Villarreal will win (votes: 35 - 67.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 17.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Villarreal: 54.5% – 80.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Alavés (votes: 1 - 20%). Villarreal (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Villarreal (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - over (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Villarreal (2.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.64) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Alavés (3.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Alavés (votes: 2 - 25%). Villarreal (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sivera A. (G) 7. Perez A. 14. Tenaglia N. 16. Koski V. 17. Jonny Otto 21. Rebbach A. 19. Ibanez P. 8. Blanco A. (C) 18. Rodriguez M. 11. Martinez T. 15. Boye L.	1. Luiz Junior (G) 15. Mourino S. 8. Foyth J. 12. Veiga R. 20. Romero C. 19. Pepe N. 14. Comesana S. 18. Gueye P. 17. Buchanan T. 7. Moreno G. (C) 9. Mikautadze G.
Substitutes
10. Alena C. 9. Diaz M. 6. Guevara A. 20. Manas A. 12. Novoa Ramos H. 27. Olaiz X. 23. Protesoni C. 13. Rodriguez A. (G) 22. Rodriguez M. 4. Suarez D. 2. Valentini N. 3. Yusi	11. Akhomach I. 23. Cardona S. 2. Costa L. 5. Diatta A. 3. Freeman A. 25. Gulacsi P. (G) 26. Macia C. 10. Moleiro A. 6. Navarro P. 21. Oluwaseyi T. 22. Perez A. 24. Saliba N.
Coaches
Sanchez Flores Q.	Perez I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Boye L. ⚽, Perez A. (A),
45+2', Sanchez Flores Q. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Rebbach A. 🟨,
54', Martinez T. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
54', Rodriguez M. ↓, Yusi ↑,
62', Comesana S. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
62', Mourino S. ↓, Freeman A. ↑,
63', Buchanan T. ↓, Moleiro A. ↑,
70', Moreno G. ↓, Akhomach I. ↑,
71', Rebbach A. ↓, Suarez D. ↑,
71', Perez A. ↓, Protesoni C. ↑,
82', Boye L. ↓, Manas A. ↑,
82', Mikautadze G. ↓, Oluwaseyi T. ↑,
86', Pepe N. 🟨,
89', Diaz M. 🟨,
90+2', Sivera A. 🟨,
90+2', Veiga R. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alavés won 1.

Alavés is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Villarreal has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Alavés may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Villarreal has had a series of away games.

Villarreal could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Alavés: Garces F. (Suspended)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Alavés won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:32. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Alavés won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.3:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Alaves	10	3	3	4	14:11	3	12
10	Villarreal	11	3	3	5	15:15	0	12

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Villarreal: 0.4% Alaves: 0.2%

Last Results with these Odds

Villarreal - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 40.79%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga
20.08.26	Rayo Vallecano - Deportivo Alavés	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Deportivo Alavés - Getafe	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Deportivo Alavés - Castellón	3:0 ✺
25.07.26	Girona - Deportivo Alavés	0:1 ✺
18.07.26	Deportivo Alavés - Eibar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TWWWT
- Villarreal CF
Spanish LaLiga
23.08.26	Atlético Madrid - Villarreal	2:2 ✺
16.08.26	Racing Santander - Villarreal	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.26	Villarreal - Levante	1:0 ✺
Como Cup
01.08.26	Lens - Villarreal	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	PSV Eindhoven - Villarreal	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
13.03.26	Deportivo Alavés - Villarreal	1:1
10.01.26	Villarreal - Deportivo Alavés	3:1
08.03.25	Deportivo Alavés - Villarreal	1:0
09.11.24	Villarreal - Deportivo Alavés	3:0
10.02.24	Deportivo Alavés - Villarreal	1:1
22.10.23	Villarreal - Deportivo Alavés	1:1
30.04.22	Deportivo Alavés - Villarreal	2:1

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