Match Info

LaLiga - Round 4

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Mendizorrotza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 1, New World Sport 2, SuperSport LaLiga
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	Laola1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	SportKlub 6
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	Disney+
Ecuador	DAZN
Finland	Disney+
France	DAZN France, Disney+
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Laola1
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hungary	TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	Disney+
India	FanCode, FanCode
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 3
Malta	TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub 5
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	M+ LaLiga
Sweden	Disney+
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DAZN, DSports 310
Usa	ESPN+, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	DAZN, DSports 1


	Deportivo Alavés		Osasuna

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.30	3.10	3.40
	2.32	3	3.45	Watch
	2.35	3.12	3.58
	2.25	3.23	3.42	Watch
	2.35	3.05	3.45
	2.37	3.19	3.58	Watch
	2.34	3.15	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.27)	3.12 ↓ (3.13)	3.46 ↑ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Alavés
41.4%

Draw
30.8%

Osasuna
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

30.3%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

29.2%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Alavés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

The chances for Osasuna have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasuna than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	48.1%	18.5%

Deportivo Alavés - Osasuna Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Alavés will win (votes: 9 - 33.3%). Osasuna will win (votes: 5 - 18.5%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 48.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.3% – 66.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Alavés (votes: 3 - 60%). Osasuna (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Alavés (1.32) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Alavés (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Osasuna (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sivera A. (G) 7. Perez A. 14. Tenaglia N. 16. Koski V. 17. Jonny Otto 10. Alena C. 19. Ibanez P. 8. Blanco A. (C) 21. Rebbach A. 15. Boye L. 9. Diaz M.	1. Herrera S. (G) 27. Arguibide I. 24. Catena A. 22. Boyomo F. 23. Bretones A. 14. Garcia R. (C) 7. Moncayola J. 8. Munoz I. 16. Gomez M. 9. Garcia R. 17. Budimir A.
Substitutes
24. Diallo Selu M. 6. Guevara A. 29. Hernandez I. 20. Manas A. 12. Novoa Ramos H. 27. Olaiz X. 23. Protesoni C. 13. Rodriguez A. (G) 22. Rodriguez M. 4. Suarez D. 2. Valentini N. 3. Yusi	11. Barja K. 30. Bonel A. 20. Del Castillo R. 21. Dubasin J. 26. Echegoyen M. 13. Fernandez A. (G) 18. Moro R. 29. Osambela A. 15. Rico D. 35. Santos U. 6. Torro L. 48. Yeboah R.
Coaches
Sanchez Flores Q.	Ramis L. M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Boye L. ⚽, Diaz M. (A),
36', 2 - 0, Diaz M. ⚽, Sivera A. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 2)
46', 2 - 1, Budimir A. ⚽, Gomez M. (A),
51', 3 - 1, Boye L. ⚽, Alena C. (A),
58', Bretones A. 🟨,
60', Boyomo F. ↓, Yeboah R. ↑,
60', Gomez M. ↓, Moro R. ↑,
60', Garcia R. ↓, Dubasin J. ↑,
62', Rebbach A. 🟨,
64', 3 - 2, Budimir A. (Penalty Awarded),
68', 4 - 2, Boye L. ⚽, Perez A. (A),
71', Rebbach A. ↓, Yusi ↑,
71', Alena C. ↓, Suarez D. ↑,
71', Diaz M. ↓, Manas A. ↑,
81', Jonny Otto ↓, Olaiz X. ↑,
84', Yeboah R. 🟨,
85', Olaiz X. ↓, Hernandez I. ↑,
85', Arguibide I. ↓, Osambela A. ↑,
90', 5 - 2, Ibanez P. ⚽, Perez A. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alavés won 1.

Alavés is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Osasuna has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Alavés may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Alavés will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alavés won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 17:29. (average 0.9:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Alavés won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.6:1.2).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Alaves: 0.4% Osasuna: 0.26%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11:6	5	11
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6:13	-7	8

Last Results with these Odds

Osasuna - the odds 3.41 are the expected chance of winning is 27.84%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga
28.08.26	Deportivo Alavés - Villarreal	1:0 ✺
20.08.26	Rayo Vallecano - Deportivo Alavés	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Deportivo Alavés - Getafe	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Deportivo Alavés - Castellón	3:0 ✺
25.07.26	Girona - Deportivo Alavés	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WTWWW
- Osasuna
Spanish LaLiga
31.08.26	Osasuna - Getafe	1:0 ✺
27.08.26	Celta de Vigo - Osasuna	1:2 ✺
24.08.26	Osasuna - Levante	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Arenas Club de Getxo - Osasuna	1:1 ✺
05.08.26	Napoli - Osasuna	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
05.04.26	Deportivo Alavés - Osasuna	2:2
20.12.25	Osasuna - Deportivo Alavés	3:0
24.05.25	Deportivo Alavés - Osasuna	1:1
08.12.24	Osasuna - Deportivo Alavés	2:2
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Deportivo Alavés - Osasuna	2:1
Spanish LaLiga
04.03.24	Osasuna - Deportivo Alavés	1:0
01.10.23	Deportivo Alavés - Osasuna	0:2

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