The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Laferrere 34.6%
Draw 32.9%
Deportivo Armenio 32.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.6%
31.5%
26.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43%
30.5%
25.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Laferrere has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Laferrere's form might have worsened.
Deportivo Armenio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Armenio's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Laferrere than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Laferrere, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Armenio than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Armenio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Deportivo Laferrere will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Deportivo Armenio will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Libares T. (G) 8. Atardo G. 6. Cavoret I. 11. Denis J. 3. Mamani L. 9. Moran J. 10. Ortiz F. 4. Portillo B. 7. Romero F. 2. Solis D. 5. Trejo E.
1. Dominguez J. (G) 8. Almanza F. 10. Barrionuevo D. 2. Cardozo I. 11. Davila M. 6. Echeverria J. 9. Figueroa G. 3. Mosca N. 4. Ortiz B. 5. Tello F. 7. Villalva L.
Substitutes
16. Benitez A. 13. Digangi M. 17. Digion R. 14. Manzi N. 12. Martinez S. (G) 18. Ortiz A. 19. Rebecchi L. 21. Vega D. 20. Visco A. 15. Vivas N.
15. Avalos S. 17. Balceda M. 16. Gerez R. 14. Gomez C. 19. Herrera Jonathan N. 13. Marchesini F. 12. Mugica J. (G) 20. Palma L. 18. Perez O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Cardozo I. (Own goal),
25', 1 - 1, Figueroa G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Davila M. 🟨,
64', Mamani L. ↓, Benitez A. ↑,
67', Solis D. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Laferrere won 3.
Now, both teams are in good form.
Recently, Deportivo Armenio has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Laferrere won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Laferrere won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.4:0.6).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Deportivo Armenio
38
17
9
12
42:38
4
60
10
Laferrere
38
13
12
13
46:50
-4
51
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo Laferrere - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 41.62%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.