The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Argentino de Quilmes 51.6%
Draw 28.5%
Ituzaingó 19.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.4%
28.8%
16.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.3%
22.4%
21.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Argentino de Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Ituzaingó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentino de Quilmes than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Argentino de Quilmes that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituzaingó than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Argentino de Quilmes - Ituzaingó Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Argentino de Quilmes will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Ituzaingó will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Yzaurralde N. (G) 6. Cosciuc F. 3. Diez E. 5. Escudero L. 8. Filliol F. 10. Filosa L. 9. Guzman L. 4. Lando F. 7. Martinez J. 11. Quattrocchi J. 2. Zarate E.
1. Acevedo H. (G) 3. Campusano M. 8. Fanti J. 6. Fernandez J. 9. Gras S. 11. Luppino F. 5. Maciel E. 2. Mantovani E. 7. Maza J. 10. Mena L. 4. Sotelo A.
Substitutes
15. Alfonso S. 13. Barreto R. 14. Castano S. 16. Ceccotti M. 12. Cheppi G. (G) 19. Compagnucci M. 18. Di Marco V. 20. Gomez M. 17. Pena D.
12. Balderrama M. A. (G) 19. Esquivel T. 15. Garcia L. 18. Ibanez E. 16. Lozano F. 20. Miranda A. 14. Politano A. 13. Politano R. 17. Santiago N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Sotelo A. 🟨,
27', Filosa L. 🟨,
40', Maciel E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Quattrocchi J. ↓, Ceccotti M. ↑,
56', Lando F. 🟨,
57', Fernandez J. 🟨,
59', 1 - 0, Guzman L. ⚽,
60', Gras S. ↓, Miranda A. ↑,
63', Sotelo A. ↓, Politano A. ↑,
63', Luppino F. ↓, Lozano F. ↑,
64', Diez E. 🟨,
66', Maza J. ↓, Santiago N. ↑,
70', Guzman L. ↓, Pena D. ↑,
71', Diez E. ↓, Barreto R. ↑,
73', Campusano M. 🟨,
79', Politano A. 🟨,
80', Lando F. ↓, Castano S. ↑,
81', Politano A. 🟥,
83', (Penalty Awarded),
86', Pena D. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 0, Filosa L. ⚽,
90+5', Filosa L. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
90+5', Santiago N. 🟥,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Argentino de Quilmes won 1.
Recent performances by Argentino de Quilmes have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Ituzaingó has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Argentino de Quilmes is a strong favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Argentino de Quilmes won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.5:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Argentino de Quilmes won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).