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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Armenio 24.9%
Draw 37.9%
Argentino de Merlo 37.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32%
36.6%
31.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.1%
35.4%
30.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Armenio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Armenio's form might have worsened.
Argentino de Merlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Argentino de Merlo's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Armenio than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Armenio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentino de Merlo than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Argentino de Merlo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.9%
42.9%
14.3%
Deportivo Armenio - Argentino de Merlo Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Deportivo Armenio will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Argentino de Merlo will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Dominguez J. (G) 3. Avalos S. 10. Barrionuevo D. 2. Cardozo I. 11. Davila M. 6. Echeverria J. 9. Figueroa G. 4. Ortiz B. 7. Suanez T. 5. Tello F. 8. Villalva L.
1. Oviedo G. (G) 6. Cohen E. 3. Lopez V. 8. Medina C. 11. Ortiz J. 7. Paz Sierra L. 10. Salvador A. 9. Scisci G. 5. Sica N. 2. Tamborelli E. 4. Ursino D.
Substitutes
16. Balceda M. 15. Gerez R. 14. Gomez C. 17. Guenzani J. 19. Herrera Jonathan N. 13. Marchesini F. 12. Nistal N. (G) 20. Palma L. 18. Perez O.
20. Celiz T. 17. Gomez M. 15. Maceri B. 19. Maldonado F. 14. Marcial C. 18. Paulovich T. 13. Rodriguez J. 16. Romero L. 12. Tello Cabrera A. N. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ursino D. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
51', 1 - 0, Davila M. ⚽,
56', Paz Sierra L. 🟨,
58', Cohen E. 🟨,
61', Sica N. 🟨,
62', Paz Sierra L. ↓, Maldonado F. ↑,
66', Davila M. ↓, Herrera Jonathan N. ↑,
68', Herrera Jonathan N. 🟨,
71', Sica N. ↓, Maceri B. ↑,
74', Suanez T. ↓, Palma L. ↑,
77', 2 - 0, Herrera Jonathan N. ⚽,
78', Oviedo G. 🟨,
88', Maceri B. 🟨,
90', Barrionuevo D. ↓, Gerez R. ↑,
90+2', Echeverria J. 🟨,
90+4', Ortiz J. ↓, Celiz T. ↑,
Preview
Federation decision.
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Armenio won 2.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Armenio won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 1.1:0.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Armenio won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 0.8:0).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Deportivo Armenio
38
17
9
12
42:38
4
60
14
Argentino de Merlo
38
11
11
16
33:39
-6
44
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo Armenio - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 31.99%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Argentino de Merlo - the odds 2.87 are the expected chance of winning is 31.43%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Dominguez J. (G) 
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