Match Info

Date: 9 April 2021, Friday


	Deportivo Cafessa		Pioneros de Cancún

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.9	5
	1.7	3.55	3.75
	1.6	3.74	5.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.77)	3.73 ↑ (3.6)	4.63 ↑ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Cafessa
56.2%

Draw
24.3%

Pioneros de Cancún
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

25.1%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

18%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Cafessa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Pioneros de Cancún has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cafessa than the current prediction. (-19.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Cafessa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pioneros de Cancún than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pioneros de Cancún could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 and 6).

Recent matches Deportivo Cafessa is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pioneros de Cancún is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Pioneros de Cancún could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Deportivo Cafessa is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Deportivo Cafessa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Cafessa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Cafessa
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
03.04.21	Aguacateros CDU Uruapan - Deportivo Cafessa	1:0 ✺
31.03.21	Deportivo Cafessa - Deportivo Dongu	1:0 ✺
21.03.21	Cuautla - Deportivo Cafessa	0:2 ✺
13.03.21	Deportivo Cafessa - Cruz Azul Hidalgo	1:3 ✺
05.03.21	Cañoneros Marina - Deportivo Cafessa	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWWLW
- Pioneros de Cancún
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
02.04.21	Pioneros de Cancún - Inter Playa Del Carmen	2:1 ✺
24.03.21	Pioneros de Cancún - Aguacateros CDU Uruapan	4:3 ✺
20.03.21	Deportivo Dongu - Pioneros de Cancún	2:1 ✺
12.03.21	Pioneros de Cancún - Cuautla	4:1 ✺
06.03.21	Cruz Azul Hidalgo - Pioneros de Cancún	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
12.12.20	Pioneros de Cancún - Deportivo Cafessa	0:3
01.03.20	Pioneros de Cancún - Deportivo Cafessa	0:0
28.09.19	Deportivo Cafessa - Pioneros de Cancún	0:1

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