Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 28

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Lic. Erico Galeano Segovia (Capiatá) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Paraguay	19:30	Tigo Sports+


	Deportivo Capiatá		Benjamín Aceval

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.30	2.50
	2.55	3.10	2.43
	2.48	3.40	2.54
	2.55	3.5	2.55	Watch
	2.40	3.25	2.40
	2.47	3.20	2.47
	2.41	3.25	2.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.64)	3.29 ↓ (3.48)	2.48 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Capiatá
36.5%

Draw
27.3%

Benjamín Aceval
36.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.1%

26.7%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

26.4%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Capiatá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Benjamín Aceval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Capiatá than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benjamín Aceval than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Deportivo Capiatá - Benjamín Aceval Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
30', 1 - 0, Oviedo A. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Medina M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
83', 2 - 1, Benitez J. ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 1, Estigarribia E. ⚽,

Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 13th and 5th).

The recent form of both sides has fallen below expectations.

Benjamín Aceval may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Deportivo Capiatá has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Benjamin Aceval	30	12	6	12	45:44	1	42
10	Dep. Capiata	30	9	11	10	39:39	0	38

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Capiatá
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
02.10.26	Sportivo Carapeguá - Deportivo Capiatá	1:1 ✺
27.09.26	Deportivo Capiatá - 12 de Junio	0:0 ✺
21.09.26	Encarnación - Deportivo Capiatá	3:1 ✺
13.09.26	Deportivo Capiatá - Deportivo Santaní	0:1 ✺
09.09.26	Fernando de la Mora - Deportivo Capiatá	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TTLLL
- Club Doctor Benjamín Aceval
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
06.10.26	Benjamín Aceval - Independiente Asuncion	2:3 ✺
26.09.26	Tacuary - Benjamín Aceval	2:1 ✺
21.09.26	Benjamín Aceval - Atlético Tembetary	2:1 ✺
14.09.26	Benjamín Aceval - Paraguarí	1:3 ✺
10.09.26	Sportivo Carapeguá - Benjamín Aceval	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
06.07.26	Benjamín Aceval - Deportivo Capiatá	1:1

Deportivo Capiatá - Benjamín Aceval