Match Info
Division Intermedia - Round 26Date: 26 September 2026, SaturdayLocation: Estadio Luis Alfonso Giagni (Asunción)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports+ |
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Tacuary |
|
Benjamín Aceval |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.75 |
3.40 |
2.10 |
|
 |
2.80 |
3.45 |
2.10 |
|
 |
2.98 |
3.64 |
2.17 |
|
 |
3.22 |
3.74 |
2.03 |
 Watch |
 |
2.65 |
3.60 |
2.13 |
|
 |
2.91 |
3.74 |
2.18 |
|
 |
2.80 |
3.50 |
2.10 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.87 ↓
(3.51) |
3.58 ↑
(3.43) |
2.12 ↑
(1.91) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Tacuary
31.6% | Draw
25.4% | Benjamín Aceval
43% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tacuary has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tacuary's performance.Benjamín Aceval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacuary than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tacuary that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benjamín Aceval than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Benjamín Aceval could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Tacuary - Benjamín Aceval Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
#ad
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Palavecino N. ⚽,
- 19', Bedoya S. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 81', 2 - 0, Diaz B. ⚽,
- 90', 2 - 1, Benitez S. ⚽,
Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 16th and 4th).Tacuary is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).Benjamín Aceval has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins). A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Benjamín Aceval holding a narrow advantage.In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Tacuary has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:3.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
|
|
|
| 4 | Benjamin Aceval | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 42:35 | 7 | 42 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 15 | Tacuary | 28 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 32:47 | -15 | 24 |
|
Last Results with these Odds
Tacuary - the odds 3.51 are the expected chance of winning is 25.92%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Bet £10 and get £30 in Free Bets
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
