Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA C - APERTURA - ROUND 18

Date: 22 May 2023, Monday


	Deportivo Español		Ferrocarril Midland

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.85	2.75
	2.45	2.9	2.85
	2.66	2.92	2.84
	2.25	3	3.2
	2.54	3.02	2.77	Watch
	2.31	2.9	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.17)	2.93 ↑ (2.88)	2.91 ↓ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Español
37.4%

Draw
31.2%

Ferrocarril Midland
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

31.5%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

32.5%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Español has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Ferrocarril Midland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Español than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Español, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ferrocarril Midland, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Deportivo Español - Ferrocarril Midland Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Deportivo Español will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 3).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo Español won 4.

Recent matches Deportivo Español is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ferrocarril is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Deportivo Español could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Deportivo Español will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Deportivo Español won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Español won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Español
Argentinian Primera C
15.05.23	Atlético Claypole - Deportivo Español	4:2 ✺
30.04.23	Deportivo Español - Sportivo Italiano	1:0 ✺
21.04.23	Berazategui - Deportivo Español	2:0 ✺
16.04.23	Deportivo Español - Club Luján	1:0 ✺
08.04.23	Real Pilar - Deportivo Español	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLWT
- Ferrocarril Midland
Argentinian Primera C
14.05.23	Ferrocarril Midland - Sportivo Italiano	1:0 ✺
06.05.23	Berazategui - Ferrocarril Midland	0:1 ✺
30.04.23	Ferrocarril Midland - Club Luján	0:1 ✺
24.04.23	Real Pilar - Ferrocarril Midland	1:2 ✺
16.04.23	Ferrocarril Midland - Liniers	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
18.06.22	Deportivo Español - Ferrocarril Midland	1:0
13.02.22	Ferrocarril Midland - Deportivo Español	1:1
31.10.21	Deportivo Español - Ferrocarril Midland	2:1
04.07.21	Ferrocarril Midland - Deportivo Español	0:1
12.01.21	Deportivo Español - Ferrocarril Midland	4:3
16.11.19	Deportivo Español - Ferrocarril Midland	1:1

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