The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Español 31.4%
Draw 36.9%
Sacachispas 31.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.3%
32.1%
34.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.4%
32.2%
34.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Español has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Sacachispas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Español than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacachispas than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Super final: )).
In recent matches, Deportivo Español has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Sacachispas is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Sacachispas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Español won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.8:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Español won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo Español - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 33.3%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.