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Current Win Probability
Puerto Nuevo 25.5%
Draw 33.1%
Sacachispas 41.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.9%
31%
41%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27%
30%
42.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puerto Nuevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Sacachispas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puerto Nuevo than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacachispas than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Puerto Nuevo - Sacachispas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', 1 - 0, Mercuri L. ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Super final: )).
Puerto Nuevo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Sacachispas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Puerto Nuevo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Sacachispas will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Puerto Nuevo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Including home match between the teams, Puerto Nuevo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Last Results with these Odds
Puerto Nuevo - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 27.94%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.