Match Info

Primera C - Round 16

Date: 7 July 2025, Monday


	Deportivo Español		Lugano

	1	X	2
	1.83	2.9	4.2
	1.62	3.21	5.26
				Watch
	1.62	3.24	5.8
	1.82	3.04	4.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.82)	3.1 ↓ (3.2)	4.95 ↑ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Español
52.5%

Draw
29.2%

Lugano
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

28.9%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

27.8%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Español has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Español than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Deportivo Español - Lugano Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Deportivo Español will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Lugano will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Deportivo Español (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Español (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Galvan D. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Cohen E. I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 1 - 2, Vielma P. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).

Deportivo Español has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lugano is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Deportivo Español is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Español won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Deportivo Español won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Español
Argentinian Primera C
28.06.25	Berazategui - Deportivo Español	1:0 ✺
21.06.25	Deportivo Español - Ituzaingó	0:0 ✺
24.05.25	Deportivo Español - Atlético Claypole	0:0 ✺
21.05.25	Deportivo Muñiz - Deportivo Español	0:0 ✺
13.05.25	Deportivo Español - Justo José de Urquiza	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTTTW
- CA Lugano
Argentinian Primera C
29.06.25	Lugano - Atlético Claypole	0:0 ✺
01.06.25	Justo José de Urquiza - Lugano	3:1 ✺
25.05.25	Lugano - El Porvenir	2:0 ✺
20.05.25	Defensores de Cambaceres - Lugano	2:0 ✺
11.05.25	Lugano - Leandro N. Alem	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
23.03.25	Lugano - Deportivo Español	0:0
28.07.24	Lugano - Deportivo Español	1:2
23.02.24	Deportivo Español - Lugano	2:1

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