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Current Win Probability
Victoriano Arenas 37.4%
Draw 34.1%
Juventud Unida de San Miguel 28.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.2%
32.2%
31.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.1%
33.2%
32.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Victoriano Arenas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
Juventud Unida de San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Victoriano Arenas than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud Unida de San Miguel than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Victoriano Arenas - Juventud Unida de San Miguel Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Cardozo F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
86', 1 - 1, Soria S. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Victoriano Arenas won 3.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Victoriano Arenas has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 12:6 (averaging 1.3:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Victoriano Arenas against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 5:5 goals (averaging 1.3:1.3 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Victoriano Arenas - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 36.15%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Juventud Unida de San Miguel - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 31.64%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.