Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 34

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Carlos V (Jauregui)

Referee: Comesana L. (Arg)


	Deportivo Flandria		Club Almagro

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.75	2.9
	2.7	2.9	2.75	Watch
	2.8	2.9	2.93
	2.7	2.7	2.75
	2.77	2.9	2.84
	2.65	2.85	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.25)	2.83 ↓ (3.22)	2.83 ↓ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Flandria
34.1%

Draw
32.9%

Club Almagro
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

28.5%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

29.3%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Flandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Flandria's form might have worsened.

Club Almagro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Flandria than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Flandria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	62.5%	25%

Deportivo Flandria - Club Almagro Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Flandria will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Almagro will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perafan M. (G) 4. Broggi C. 2. Gomez F. 6. Raggio E. 8. Gonzalez A. E. 5. Nalerio A. 7. Rivadero M. 3. Murillo F. 9. Sanchez C. 10. Melivilo F. 11. Tisera F.	1. Aracena C. (G) 4. Ferreyra L. (C) 2. Guzman M. 6. Achucarro D. 3. Silvera F. 8. Blanc G. 5. Ayala A. 7. Schonfeld A. 10. Cuello A. 9. Alderete E. 11. Fernandez E.
Substitutes
13. Arrechea N. 19. Comachi M. 14. Correa J. 20. Gagliardi A. 12. Gallardo I. (G) 15. Maimo A. 17. Ortigosa F. 16. Papa G. 18. Seimandi L.	14. Basualdo N. 19. Conechny R. 20. Galeano M. 18. Jaque G. 17. Maidana A. 13. Martinez D. 15. Sivetti F. 16. Sole F. 12. Vaccaneo M. (G)
Coaches
Arrotea T.	Ruiz F.

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Flandria won 1.

Flandria has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Almagro is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Our prediction for today's Almagro to win the game is with odds 2.83.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Flandria won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Flandria won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Flandria
Argentinian Primera Nacional
10.09.23	San Telmo - Deportivo Flandria	2:1 ✺
03.09.23	Deportivo Flandria - Temperley	2:3 ✺
26.08.23	San Martín de Tucumán - Deportivo Flandria	2:0 ✺
21.08.23	Deportivo Flandria - Nueva Chicago	0:1 ✺
15.08.23	All Boys - Deportivo Flandria	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Club Almagro
Copa Argentina
10.09.23	Club Almagro - Boca Juniors	2:3 penalties ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.09.23	Defensores Unidos - Club Almagro	1:0 ✺
27.08.23	Club Almagro - Guillermo Brown	2:0 ✺
20.08.23	Agropecuario Argentino - Club Almagro	1:1 ✺
05.08.23	Club Almagro - San Telmo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.05.23	Club Almagro - Deportivo Flandria	3:1
27.07.22	Deportivo Flandria - Club Almagro	0:3
22.04.18	Club Almagro - Deportivo Flandria	2:1
23.04.17	Club Almagro - Deportivo Flandria	1:1
02.11.16	Deportivo Flandria - Club Almagro	1:0
Argentinian Primera B
05.07.15	Deportivo Flandria - Club Almagro	1:3

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