Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 30

Date: 2 September 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio Gigante de Villa Fox (Zarate)

Referee: Recalde M. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Defensores Unidos		Club Almagro

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.7	3.7
	2.3	2.65	3.4
	2.35	2.8	3.4
	2.38	2.65	3.98
	2.31	2.67	3.89	Watch
	2.3	2.7	3.5
	2.24	2.79	3.66
	2.35	2.8	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.18)	2.72 ↓ (2.83)	3.62 ↓ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores Unidos
40.1%

Draw
34.2%

Club Almagro
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

32.6%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

32.2%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Club Almagro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	42.9%	42.9%

Defensores Unidos - Club Almagro Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Defensores Unidos will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Almagro will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Henricot F. (G) 4. Ponce J. 2. Morales A. 6. Zadel D. 3. Olivera L. 8. Silva F. 5. Nizzo M. 7. Cavagnero N. 10. Gimenez M. 9. Juarez R. 11. Sombra A.	1. Limousin C. (G) 4. Gamba L. 2. Molina M. 6. Alegre A. 16. Brizuela D. 10. Vedoya F. 8. Rodriguez L. 18. Montenegro M. 11. Vasquez D. 7. Orlando J. 9. Dornell T.
Coaches
Lema D.	Sparapani L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Gamba L. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Juarez R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Vedoya F. ↓, Ibanez J. ↑,
51', Silva G. 🟨,
54', 1 - 1, Silva G. (Pen),
56', Cavagnero N. 🟨,
60', Gamba L. ↓, Basualdo N. ↑,
63', Silva F. ↓, Peralta M. ↑,
65', Alegre A. 🟨,
71', Sombra A. ↓, Lonardi F. ↑,
71', Ponce J. ↓, Arregui L. ↑,
77', Silva G. ↓, Montenegro M. ↑,
77', Vasquez D. ↓, Tappero M. ↑,
82', Molina M. 🟨,
89', Brizuela D. ↓, Falabella L. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 13).

Defensores Unidos is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Almagro is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Defensores Unidos will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Defensores Unidos won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Defensores Unidos won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores Unidos
Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.08.24	Brown de Adrogué - Defensores Unidos	2:1 ✺
18.08.24	Defensores Unidos - Temperley	3:1 ✺
10.08.24	Deportivo Morón - Defensores Unidos	1:1 ✺
03.08.24	Defensores Unidos - Nueva Chicago	1:2 ✺
28.07.24	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Defensores Unidos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWTLL
- Club Almagro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.08.24	Club Almagro - Deportivo Madryn	0:1 ✺
18.08.24	Atlético de Rafaela - Club Almagro	2:3 ✺
11.08.24	Club Almagro - San Telmo	1:1 ✺
03.08.24	Chaco For Ever - Club Almagro	1:1 ✺
26.07.24	Club Almagro - Defensores de Belgrano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.04.24	Club Almagro - Defensores Unidos	1:1
02.09.23	Defensores Unidos - Club Almagro	1:0
23.04.23	Club Almagro - Defensores Unidos	1:0

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