Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 30

Date: 21 August 2023, Monday

Location: Estadio Carlos V (Jauregui)

Referee: Delbarba J. (Arg)


	Deportivo Flandria		Nueva Chicago

	1	X	2
	2.63	2.8	3.2
	2.55	2.8	2.87
	2.6	2.75	3.1
	2.78	2.77	3.1
	2.6	2.7	2.9
	2.64	2.82	3.08
	2.55	2.8	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (3.05)	2.78 ↓ (2.8)	3.04 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Flandria
35.6%

Draw
33.6%

Nueva Chicago
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

32.9%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

32.7%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Flandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Flandria's performance.

Nueva Chicago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nueva Chicago might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Flandria than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Flandria that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nueva Chicago than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nueva Chicago could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	57.1%	14.3%

Deportivo Flandria - Nueva Chicago Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Flandria will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Nueva Chicago will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perafan M. (C) 4. Broggi C. 2. Gomez F. 6. Arrechea N. 3. Murillo F. 5. Papa G. 8. Altuna A. 7. Melivilo F. 10. Seimandi L. 11. Torres J. 9. Gagliardi A.	1. Monllor D. (C) 4. Sosa B. 2. Fedorco J. 6. Tomino J. I. 3. Ostchega T. 5. Mercado Carrizo D. A. 8. Lopez L. 7. Obregon E. 10. Bergara M. 11. Gauna J. 9. Naya E.
Substitutes
14. Camacho A. 18. Ford J. 12. Gallardo I. (G) 20. Gonzalez A. E. 13. Marchio J. 15. Nalerio A. 16. Raggio E. 17. Rivadero M. 19. Tisera F.	15. Almaraz A. 13. Arroyo D. 19. Cardozo E. 12. Ferrero F. (G) 17. Gonzalez J. 14. Lorenzo A. 16. Mendoza G. 20. Ortega L. 18. Spetale A.
Coaches
Arrotea T.	Montenegro A.

Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Primera Nacional (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Flandria is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Nueva Chicago is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Flandria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Flandria won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Flandria won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Flandria
Argentinian Primera Nacional
15.08.23	All Boys - Deportivo Flandria	1:0 ✺
07.08.23	Deportivo Flandria - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:0 ✺
31.07.23	Defensores de Belgrano - Deportivo Flandria	4:2 ✺
23.07.23	Deportivo Flandria - Almirante Brown	0:2 ✺
16.07.23	Deportivo Morón - Deportivo Flandria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLLL
- CA Nueva Chicago
Argentinian Primera Nacional
16.08.23	Nueva Chicago - San Martín de San Juan	0:0 ✺
06.08.23	Defensores Unidos - Nueva Chicago	0:0 ✺
29.07.23	Nueva Chicago - Guillermo Brown	3:2 ✺
22.07.23	Agropecuario Argentino - Nueva Chicago	2:1 ✺
14.07.23	Nueva Chicago - Club Almagro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
10.04.23	Nueva Chicago - Deportivo Flandria	1:0
01.08.22	Nueva Chicago - Deportivo Flandria	0:1
07.04.18	Nueva Chicago - Deportivo Flandria	2:5
17.06.17	Nueva Chicago - Deportivo Flandria	0:1
19.11.16	Deportivo Flandria - Nueva Chicago	0:1

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