The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Flandria 38%
Draw 34.2%
Liniers 27.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.7%
31.5%
27.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.3%
32%
27.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Flandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
The chances for Liniers have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Flandria than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liniers than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Deportivo Flandria - Liniers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Morel C. (G) 3. Correa M. 10. Costa F. 8. Dulon A. 7. Gonzalez B. 6. Lopez M. 11. Lopez M. 9. Mendoza J. 5. Nalerio A. 4. Real F. 2. Ruiz F.
1. De Feliche C. (G) 7. Camejo F. 9. Coria T. 4. Di Motta R. 10. Fernandez G. 2. Formichelli S. 11. Mackay G. 3. Pereyra E. 6. Rodon F. 5. Roth J. 8. Tonet J.
Substitutes
17. Casal A. 18. De La Riva R. 19. Donato M. 20. Gimenez B. 15. Gonzalez A. E. 13. Mariatti M. 14. Spitale D. 12. Szalich L. (G) 16. Vasconcelo M.
16. Auzqui D. 13. Bouvier J. 17. Camejo J. 14. Canosa J. 15. Gallegos E. 20. Moreno F. 19. Rodriguez C. 12. Rotundo M. (G) 18. Sallaberry I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Formichelli S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Formichelli S. ↓, Bouvier J. ↑,
47', Rodon F. 🟨,
57', Fernandez G. 🟨,
58', 1 - 0, Gonzalez B. ⚽,
63', Lopez M. ↓, Mariatti M. ↑,
63', Lopez M. ↓, Gimenez B. ↑,
64', Tonet J. ↓, Gallegos E. ↑,
64', Fernandez G. ↓, Moreno F. ↑,
71', Dulon A. ↓, Donato M. ↑,
75', Coria T. ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
79', Gimenez B. 🟨,
80', Real F. ↓, Spitale D. ↑,
80', Costa F. ↓, Gonzalez A. E. ↑,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 and 17).
Recent form of Flandria has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Liniers's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flandria won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 1:0).
Including home matches between the teams, Flandria won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
17
Liniers
38
10
13
15
31:39
-8
43
20
Flandria
38
10
9
19
34:48
-14
39
Last Results with these Odds
Liniers - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 27.76%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.