The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Defensores Unidos 35.8%
Draw 34.1%
Liniers 30.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.8%
31.3%
31.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.3%
29.3%
29.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensores Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
Liniers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liniers than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Defensores Unidos - Liniers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Henricot F. (G) 4. Alarcon M. N. 5. Baigorria A. 8. Ferreyra T. 10. Gimenez M. 7. Girard T. 6. Iribarne S. 2. Lopez J. 9. Lopez M. 3. Olivera L. 11. Sombra A.
1. De Feliche C. (G) 7. Camejo F. 10. Coria T. 4. Di Motta R. 2. Formichelli S. 9. Gauna B. 3. Mackay G. 8. Palacio S. 6. Pereyra E. 5. Roth J. 11. Tonet J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Gimenez M. ⚽,
32', Lopez J. 🟨,
45+1', Baigorria A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Sombra A. ↓, Redondo K. ↑,
46', Palacio S. ↓, Bouvier J. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Gauna B. ⚽,
58', 1 - 2, Gauna B. ⚽,
59', Gauna B. 🟨,
62', 1 - 3, Coria T. ⚽,
63', Lopez M. ↓, Herrera S. ↑,
63', Ferreyra T. ↓, Carboni B. ↑,
63', Roth J. 🟨,
67', Formichelli S. 🟨,
69', Tonet J. ↓, Fernandez G. ↑,
74', Alarcon M. N. 🟨,
76', Alarcon M. N. ↓, Ortigoza M. ↑,
77', Iribarne S. 🟨,
80', Coria T. ↓, Linas M. ↑,
87', 2 - 3, Lopez J. ⚽,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 and 17).
Both teams are currently in poor form.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Defensores Unidos won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
17
Liniers
38
10
13
15
31:39
-8
43
18
Defensores Unidos
38
9
14
15
33:39
-6
41
Last Results with these Odds
Liniers - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 31.9%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.