Match Info

Primera B - Round 26

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Juan Antonio Arias Stadium (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Liniers		Deportivo Merlo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.40	2.70	3.00
	2.55	2.80	2.70	Watch
	2.52	2.74	3.19
	2.46	2.69	3.18	Watch
	2.45	2.60	3.10
	2.46	2.67	3.15
	2.39	2.65	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.55)	2.69 ↓ (2.8)	3.05 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liniers
36.8%

Draw
33.6%

Deportivo Merlo
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

31.9%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

30.7%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liniers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Deportivo Merlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liniers than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Liniers - Deportivo Merlo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. De Feliche C. (G) 6. Bouvier J. 7. Coria T. 4. Di Motta R. 10. Fernandez G. 11. Fiordeliso M. 2. Formichelli S. 3. Pereyra E. 9. Rodriguez C. 5. Roth J. 8. Tonet J.	1. Figueroa T. (G) 8. Aguerre F. 10. Cabrera D. 2. Figueredo L. 7. Hernandez R. 11. Maguicha D. 3. Miguez L. 6. Minnicelli A. 5. Ojeda G. 9. Sandoval I. 4. Vallejo L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Sandoval I. (Penalty Awarded),
16', 🟨,
19', 🟨,
29', Miguez L. 🟨,
29', De Feliche C. 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Coria T. ⚽,
45', (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Hernandez R. ↓, Quinteros E. ↑,
56', Cabrera D. ↓, Da Rosa J. E. ↑,
64', Ojeda G. ↓, Casasola N. ↑,
70', Maguicha D. ↓, Gugenheim C. ↑,
70', Sandoval I. ↓, Diaz A. ↑,
71', Rodriguez C. ↓, Moreno F. ↑,
78', Fiordeliso M. ↓, Sallaberry I. ↑,
79', Coria T. ↓, Tejada U. ↑,
82', Minnicelli A. 🟨,
89', Gallegos E. 🟨,
90', Camejo F. 🟨,
90+2', Sallaberry I. 🟨,
90+4', Roth J. 🟨,
90+4', Vallejo L. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 16 and 12).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liniers won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.4:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Liniers won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Dep. Merlo	38	10	14	14	36:51	-15	44
17	Liniers	38	10	13	15	31:39	-8	43

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Merlo - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 33.08%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSD Liniers
Argentinian Primera B
14.07.26	Deportivo Camioneros - Liniers	1:0 ✺
10.07.26	Liniers - Sportivo Italiano	0:1 ✺
05.07.26	San Martín de Burzaco - Liniers	1:1 ✺
28.06.26	Liniers - Villa San Carlos	1:1 ✺
19.06.26	Ituzaingó - Liniers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLTTT
- Deportivo Merlo
Argentinian Primera B
14.07.26	Deportivo Merlo - Real Pilar	3:2 ✺
10.07.26	UAI Urquiza - Deportivo Merlo	0:0 ✺
04.07.26	Deportivo Merlo - Villa Dálmine	1:2 ✺
27.06.26	Excursionistas - Deportivo Merlo	5:0 ✺
21.06.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Deportivo Merlo	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
26.05.26	Deportivo Merlo - Liniers	0:0
08.07.25	Deportivo Merlo - Liniers	0:1
18.02.25	Liniers - Deportivo Merlo	0:2
10.07.24	Deportivo Merlo - Liniers	0:1
21.02.24	Liniers - Deportivo Merlo	0:0

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