The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Flandria 29.6%
Draw 33.3%
Excursionistas 37.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27%
31.3%
41.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.4%
30.6%
42.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Flandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Excursionistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Flandria than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Excursionistas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportivo Flandria - Excursionistas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Szalich L. (G) 3. Correa M. 10. Costa F. 7. Diosquez N. 11. Dulon A. 6. Mariatti M. 9. Mendoza J. 5. Nalerio A. 4. Real F. 2. Ruiz F. 8. Vasconcelo M.
1. Blengio M. (G) 11. Alaniz M. 3. Arango M. 8. Avalos A. 10. Blanco M. 4. Fernandez M. 2. Maizarez I. 6. Pedrosa G. 7. Pereyra J. 9. Polvera M. 5. Zoratti G.
Substitutes
19. Brestt F. 20. De La Riva R. 15. Gonzalez A. E. 16. Gonzalez B. 17. Jaureguiberrey M. 14. Lopez M. 12. Morel C. (G) 13. Orensans J. 18. Prokop A.
18. Arbello I. . Espeche A. 17. Gimenez W. 14. Ledesma D. 16. Lopez M. . Paulides A. 15. Scaramuzzi E. 20. Tellas G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Diosquez N. ⚽,
34', Maizarez I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Polvera M. ↓, Gimenez W. ↑,
60', Alaniz M. ↓, Espeche A. ↑,
71', Blanco M. 🟨,
72', Blanco M. ↓, Arbello I. ↑,
72', Costa F. ↓, Gonzalez B. ↑,
72', Diosquez N. ↓, Jaureguiberrey M. ↑,
76', Real F. 🟨,
77', Mendoza J. 🟨,
79', Fernandez M. 🟨,
81', Real F. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
81', Dulon A. ↓, De La Riva R. ↑,
83', Pereyra J. ↓, Scaramuzzi E. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 1, Gimenez W. ⚽,
90+4', Vasconcelo M. ↓, Brestt F. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
Flandria is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Excursionistas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Excursionistas might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flandria won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Flandria won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Excursionistas
38
22
8
8
59:30
29
74
20
Flandria
38
10
9
19
34:48
-14
39
Last Results with these Odds
Excursionistas - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 41.68%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.