Match Info

GUATEMALA: LIGA NACIONAL - CLAUSURA - ROUND 7

Date: 19 February 2023, Sunday


	Deportivo Iztapa		Antigua GFC

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	2.75
	2.43	3.04	2.96
	2.3	3.24	2.92	Watch
	2.38	3.15	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.42)	3.11 ↑ (2.99)	2.87 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Iztapa
38.8%

Draw
29.4%

Antigua GFC
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

30.2%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

31.1%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Iztapa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Antigua GFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Iztapa than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antigua GFC than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo Iztapa won 1.

Deportivo Iztapa is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Antigua is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Antigua could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Deportivo Iztapa won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 23-30.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Iztapa won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Iztapa
Guatemala Liga Nacional
15.02.23	Cobán Imperial - Deportivo Iztapa	2:0 ✺
12.02.23	Deportivo Iztapa - Malacateco	2:2 ✺
05.02.23	Deportivo Xinabajul - Deportivo Iztapa	1:0 ✺
01.02.23	Deportivo Iztapa - Municipal	2:2 ✺
28.01.23	Xelajú - Deportivo Iztapa	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LTLTL
- Antigua GFC
Guatemala Liga Nacional
15.02.23	Antigua GFC - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	1:1 ✺
11.02.23	Deportivo Guastatoya - Antigua GFC	3:1 ✺
04.02.23	Antigua GFC - Comunicaciones	1:2 ✺
01.02.23	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Achuapa	6:1 ✺
28.01.23	Cobán Imperial - Antigua GFC	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
05.11.22	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Iztapa	4:1
28.08.22	Deportivo Iztapa - Antigua GFC	4:1
24.04.22	Deportivo Iztapa - Antigua GFC	0:0
19.02.22	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Iztapa	2:1
02.10.21	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Iztapa	4:2
31.07.21	Deportivo Iztapa - Antigua GFC	1:0
07.04.21	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Iztapa	3:2

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