The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Guastatoya 39.7%
Draw 33%
Antigua GFC 27.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42.9%
29.2%
27.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46%
27.2%
26%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Guastatoya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
Antigua GFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Guastatoya than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Guastatoya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antigua GFC than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
33.3%
0%
Deportivo Guastatoya - Antigua GFC Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Guastatoya will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Escobar R. (G) 88. Alvarado C. 22. Avalos V. 33. Contreras A. 14. Estrada J. 32. Lemus B. 17. Lon A. 18. Lovato N. 10. Sequen M. 13. Tejeda A. 44. Yori E.
1. Moran L. (G) 77. Camargo E. 4. Carbonell J. 17. Castellanos O. 19. Espinoza J. 81. Fajardo W. 7. Galvez J. 15. Maziero A. 21. Robinson A. 6. Rosales J. . Zuniga S.
Substitutes
8. Aguilar Y. 23. Armas V. 19. Garrido S. 30. Hernandez B. (G) 16. Macal L. 4. Morales B. 15. Morales H. 35. Palencia E. 26. Pineda W.
12. Ardon J. 24. Fernandez D. 22. Franco J. 5. Garcia A. 8. Garzaro S. 34. Lopez K. J. 72. Moreno Alfaro J. E. (G) 27. Palencia D. 54. Sagastume S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Maziero A. ⚽,
14', Lovato N. ↓, Morales B. ↑,
45', Morales B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Camargo E. 🟨,
50', Maziero A. 🟨,
56', Camargo E. ↓, Lopez K. J. ↑,
56', Tejeda A. ↓, Aguilar Y. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Estrada J. ⚽,
68', Fajardo W. ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
68', Espinoza J. ↓, Garzaro S. ↑,
74', Castellanos O. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
74', Maziero A. ↓, Franco J. ↑,
82', Contreras A. ↓, Pineda W. ↑,
82', Morales B. ↓, Armas V. ↑,
90+1', Sequen M. 🟨,
90+5', 🟥,
90+7', 🟨,
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 2nd in the Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Playoffs - Semi - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guastatoya won 1.
Guastatoya has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Antigua is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Antigua may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Guastatoya holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Guastatoya has recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:33 (averaging 0.9:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Guastatoya against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 16:13 goals (averaging 1.6:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Antigua
16
9
2
5
28:21
7
29
4
Guastatoya
16
8
3
5
22:20
2
27
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo Guastatoya - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 42.88%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Guatemala
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Escobar R. (G) 
Alvarado C. 
Lovato N. 
Tejeda A. 
Camargo E. 
Robinson A. 
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