Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 20

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio David Cordón Hichos (Guastatoya)


	Deportivo Guastatoya		Antigua GFC

	1	X	2
	2.12	3	3.2
	2.15	3.44	3.11
	2.01	3.5	3.5	Watch
	2	3.1	3.4
	2.14	3.22	3.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.39)	3.25 ↑ (3.1)	3.26 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Guastatoya
43.9%

Draw
28.1%

Antigua GFC
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

29%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

30.7%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Guastatoya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Guastatoya's performance.

Antigua GFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Antigua GFC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Guastatoya than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antigua GFC than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Deportivo Guastatoya - Antigua GFC Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Guastatoya will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guastatoya (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Escobar R. (G) 8. Aguilar Y. 11. Arboine K. 23. Armas V. 22. Avalos V. 27. Garcia N. 70. Hernandez Y. 17. Lon A. 12. Ramirez K. G. A. 5. Ubico J. 44. Yori E.	1. Moran L. (G) 12. Ardon J. 4. Carbonell J. 17. Castellanos O. 28. Fernandez E. 14. Garzaro S. 20. Herrera A. 15. Maziero A. 33. Prillwitz H. 21. Robinson A. 18. Santis O.
Substitutes
88. Alvarado C. 99. Cifuentes J. (G) 26. Cruz G. O. 6. Estrada J. 30. Fernandez K. 9. Gomez S. 20. Gutierrez A. 15. Morales H. 77. Sanchez D.	10. Castaneda B. 30. de L. B. 35. Fernandez A. (G) 2. Grijalva K. 99. Macareno K. . Ortigoza L. 22. Osorio J. 60. Ruiz J. 25. Santis D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guastatoya won 0.

Recent performances by Guastatoya have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Antigua is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Guastatoya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Guastatoya is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guastatoya won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:32. (average 0.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Guastatoya won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.5:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Guastatoya	12	8	1	3	19:13	6	25
3	Antigua	11	7	0	4	21:17	4	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Guastatoya
Guatemala Liga Nacional
12.04.26	Cobán Imperial - Deportivo Guastatoya	1:1 ✺
06.04.26	Deportivo Guastatoya - Deportivo Achuapa	3:1 ✺
02.04.26	Malacateco - Deportivo Guastatoya	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Xelajú - Deportivo Guastatoya	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Deportivo Guastatoya - Municipal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWLTT
- Antigua GFC
Guatemala Liga Nacional
11.04.26	Antigua GFC - Municipal	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Aurora - Antigua GFC	0:2 ✺
01.04.26	Antigua GFC - Mictlán	8:2 ✺
28.03.26	Deportivo Mixco - Antigua GFC	2:1 ✺
23.03.26	Antigua GFC - Marquense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
24.02.26	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Guastatoya	2:0
09.11.25	Deportivo Guastatoya - Antigua GFC	0:3
06.09.25	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Guastatoya	3:1
03.05.25	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Guastatoya	2:0
30.04.25	Deportivo Guastatoya - Antigua GFC	0:3
05.03.25	Deportivo Guastatoya - Antigua GFC	1:0
18.01.25	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Guastatoya	3:0

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