Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Pensativo (Antigua Guatemala)

Where to Watch on TV:


Guatemala	Tigo Sports
South-america	ViX Latin America


	Antigua GFC		Deportivo Achuapa

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.4	6.75
	1.38	4.15	6.9
	1.35	4.05	6
	1.43	4	8.22	Watch
	1.4	3.75	7.5
	1.49	4.09	6.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.28)	4.07 ↓ (4.73)	6.99 ↓ (8.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Antigua GFC
64.8%

Draw
22.3%

Deportivo Achuapa
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.7%

19.2%

10.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Antigua GFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Antigua GFC's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Achuapa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Antigua GFC - Deportivo Achuapa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
100. Sican E. (G) 13. Bradley D. 28. Camargo E. 17. Castellanos O. 14. Garzaro S. 2. Grijalva K. 96. Herrera A. 22. Osorio J. 33. Prillwitz H. 21. Robinson A. 18. Santis O.	12. Cabezas Quinonez E. A. (G) 29. Asprilla J. 88. Carabali Y. 30. Corado J. 4. Gaitan M. 10. Macal E. . Martir A. 91. Matta A. 7. Mejia C. 66. Santos C. 2. Suazo D.
Substitutes
4. Carbonell J. 7. Castaneda B. 30. de L. B. 26. Fernandez D. 99. Macareno K. 9. Maziero A. 1. Moran L. (G) . Paz W. 5. Rosales J.	36. Aquino D. 11. Bol E. . Carias P. 22. Gonzalez C. . Palma D. 27. Ruiz L. (G) 20. Sanchez E. 25. Tiul K. 9. Williams J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Macal E. 🟨,
27', Mejia C. 🟨,
33', Asprilla J. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
40', Grijalva K. 🟨,
45+3', Robinson A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Prillwitz H. ↓, Castaneda B. ↑,
46', Herrera A. ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
57', Bradley D. (Penalty Awarded),
58', Santos C. 🟨,
60', Castellanos O. 🟨,
60', Corado J. 🟨,
63', Garzaro S. ↓, Macareno K. ↑,
64', Gaitan M. 🟥,
67', Mejia C. ↓, Tiul K. ↑,
70', Grijalva K. ↓, Maziero A. ↑,
78', Bradley D. ↓, Carbonell J. ↑,
81', 1 - 0, Castellanos O. ⚽,
86', Matta A. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Antigua won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Achuapa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Antigua is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Antigua won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 37:13. (average 1.9:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Antigua won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:2. (average 2.8:0.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Antigua	11	7	0	4	21:17	4	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Antigua GFC
Guatemala Liga Nacional
28.02.26	Malacateco - Antigua GFC	2:2 ✺
24.02.26	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Guastatoya	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Municipal - Antigua GFC	4:2 ✺
18.02.26	Antigua GFC - Aurora	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Mictlán - Antigua GFC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWLWT
- Deportivo Achuapa
Guatemala Liga Nacional
01.03.26	Deportivo Achuapa - Cobán Imperial	0:1 ✺
25.02.26	Deportivo Achuapa - Xelajú	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Malacateco - Deportivo Achuapa	1:1 ✺
17.02.26	Deportivo Achuapa - Deportivo Guastatoya	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Municipal - Deportivo Achuapa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
11.10.25	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Achuapa	1:0
02.08.25	Deportivo Achuapa - Antigua GFC	2:0
27.04.25	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Achuapa	2:0
01.03.25	Deportivo Achuapa - Antigua GFC	2:0
17.11.24	Deportivo Achuapa - Antigua GFC	1:0
18.02.24	Deportivo Achuapa - Antigua GFC	0:2
19.01.24	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Achuapa	2:0

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