The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo La Guaira 61.5%
Draw 23.6%
Estudiantes de Mérida 14.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.6%
25.6%
16.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.3%
24.9%
16.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo La Guaira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
Estudiantes de Mérida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo La Guaira than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Mérida than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Deportivo La Guaira - Estudiantes de Mérida Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Varela C. (G) 33. Hernandez N. 14. Da Silva C. 24. Ortiz G. 39. Orihuela M. 13. Ibarra R. (C) 10. Castellanos J. 15. Gonzalez M. 30. Zeballos S. 9. Uribe A. 22. Sulbaran M.
12. Roberts E. (G) 25. Acosta H. 44. Caicedo L. 4. Rodriguez C. 20. Montilla Maldonado J. A. 16. Lobo J. 15. Rivas C. (C) 11. Montero A. 99. Matheus D. 9. Hernandez J. 14. Ivey R.
Substitutes
27. Correa J. 23. Herrera J. 36. Londono F. 43. Martinez J. 16. Martinez L. 7. Meza J. 49. Pena M. 8. Perdomo J. 12. Sanchez J. (G) 46. Vegas S. 28. Villero M.
7. Albarran E. 77. Caicedo C. 36. Chacon R. 2. Gutierez J. 23. Lacruz Y. 13. Maldonado M. 30. Molina F. 31. Montes G. 24. Moreno J. 1. Rojas T. (G)
Coaches
Bidoglio H.
Gomez J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Hernandez J. ⚽, Montero A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 1 - 1, Ortiz G. ⚽,
49', Sulbaran M. 🟨,
55', Uribe A. ↓, Londono F. ↑,
55', Zeballos S. ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
64', Ibarra R. 🟨,
64', Sulbaran M. ↓, Meza J. ↑,
64', Gonzalez M. ↓, Correa J. ↑,
73', Lobo J. 🟨,
73', Montero A. ↓, Chacon R. ↑,
79', Ibarra R. ↓, Perdomo J. ↑,
82', Hernandez J. ↓, Caicedo C. ↑,
82', Matheus D. ↓, Albarran E. ↑,
82', Lobo J. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
83', 1 - 2, Chacon R. (Penalty Awarded),
85', Ivey R. ↓, Gutierez J. ↑,
89', Moreno J. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo La Guaira won 5.
Deportivo La Guaira is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Estudiantes Mérida's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Estudiantes Mérida may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Deportivo La Guaira is the clear favorite.
We predict that Deportivo La Guaira will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo La Guaira won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:23. (average 1.5:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo La Guaira won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:9. (average 1.5:0.9).
Watch
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Varela C. (G) 
Ortiz G. 
Roberts E. (G) 
Caicedo L. 
Herrera J. 
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