The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Caracas 28.1%
Draw 31%
Deportivo La Guaira 40.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.1%
30.9%
39%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caracas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Deportivo La Guaira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Caracas - Deportivo La Guaira Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Vegas J. (G) 35. Lezama R. 4. Quintero J. 14. La Mantia F. (C) 13. Yendis J. 33. Correa W. 8. Gudino I. 15. Larotonda C. 7. Robert Hernandez 9. De Santis J. 39. Villarreal A.
1. Varela C. (G) 16. Martinez L. 14. Da Silva C. 2. Rojas C. 39. Orihuela M. 10. Castellanos J. 13. Ibarra R. (C) 22. Sulbaran M. 30. Zeballos S. 36. Londono F. 15. Gonzalez M.
Substitutes
1. Benitez F. (G) 10. Covea M. 22. Figueroa A. 27. Gonzalez S. 30. Herrera A. 41. Lopez A. 20. Maestre Nino L. A. 11. Marquez M. 34. Martinez Aponte C. A. 3. Pagano L. 32. Uribe J. 5. Vegas M.
27. Correa J. 38. Diaz A. 11. Gonzalez J. 37. Gonzalez M. 33. Hernandez N. 41. Lunar F. 43. Martinez J. 8. Perdomo J. 12. Sanchez J. (G) 45. Sosa A. 9. Uribe A. 46. Vegas S.
Coaches
Melendez H.
Bidoglio H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Castellanos J. ⚽, Gonzalez M. (A),
22', Robert Hernandez 🟨,
35', Gudino I. 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Villarreal A. ⚽, Correa W. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lezama R. ↓, Herrera A. ↑,
46', Larotonda C. ↓, Vegas M. ↑,
47', Rojas C. 🟨,
55', Zeballos S. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
59', Vegas M. 🟨,
62', Sulbaran M. ↓, Perdomo J. ↑,
67', Quintero J. 🟥,
71', 1 - 2, Castellanos J. (Penalty Awarded),
74', Ibarra R. 🟨,
75', Londono F. ↓, Uribe A. ↑,
75', Martinez L. ↓, Hernandez N. ↑,
75', Castellanos J. ↓, Correa J. ↑,
75', Robert Hernandez ↓, Figueroa A. ↑,
76', De Santis J. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
84', Villarreal A. ↓, Marquez M. ↑,
90+4', Figueroa A. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caracas won 1.
Recent form of Caracas has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Deportivo La Guaira may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Caracas won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 31:20. (average 1.6:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Caracas won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.6:1).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
La Guaira
11
5
1
5
21:16
5
16
10
Caracas
11
2
5
4
9:14
-5
11
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo La Guaira - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 39%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.