The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Carabobo 56%
Draw 27%
Deportivo La Guaira 17%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53.6%
25.6%
20.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58%
23.2%
18.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carabobo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
Deportivo La Guaira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Guaira than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Carabobo - Deportivo La Guaira Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Silva M. (G) 21. Gonzalez A. (C) 6. Bahachille A. 4. Aponte L. 8. Perez J. 30. Mendoza S. 15. Cova M. 14. Berios J. 26. Nunez M. 10. Orozco Y. 24. Ramirez E.
1. Varela C. (G) 33. Hernandez N. 13. Ibarra R. (C) 2. Rojas C. 39. Orihuela M. 8. Perdomo J. 27. Correa J. 6. Faya C. 10. Castellanos J. 36. Londono F. 23. Herrera J.
Substitutes
28. Bilbao J. 5. Castillo E. 13. Duran J. 3. Fuentes J. 2. Guaramato M. 16. Lopez F. 11. Machis D. 19. Martinez L. 23. Meza D. 32. Neira E. 17. Oliveros F. 12. Roa K. (G)
11. Gonzalez J. 15. Gonzalez M. 16. Martinez L. 7. Meza J. 51. Pomozy H. 12. Sanchez J. (G) 22. Sulbaran M. 9. Uribe A. 67. Vargas G. 28. Villero M. 30. Zeballos S.
Coaches
Farias D.
Rodriguez M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
28', 1 - 0, Ramirez E. ⚽, Cova M. (A),
37', Nunez M. 🟨,
45+3', Castellanos J. 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 1, Herrera J. ⚽, Orihuela M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', Aponte L. 🟨,
50', 2 - 1, Berios J. ⚽, Orozco Y. (A),
60', 3 - 1, Ramirez E. (Penalty Awarded),
60', Herrera J. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
60', Castellanos J. ↓, Zeballos S. ↑,
67', Correa J. 🟨,
67', Londono F. ↓, Uribe A. ↑,
68', Faya C. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
71', Berios J. ↓, Machis D. ↑,
71', Mendoza S. ↓, Meza D. ↑,
72', Cova M. ↓, Castillo E. ↑,
83', Perdomo J. ↓, Meza J. ↑,
83', Orozco Y. ↓, Martinez L. ↑,
86', Ramirez E. ↓, Fuentes J. ↑,
90+8', Zeballos S. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carabobo won 1.
Carabobo has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Deportivo La Guaira has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Recently, Deportivo La Guaira has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Bookmakers give the edge to Carabobo for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Carabobo has recorded 6 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:22 (averaging 1.1:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Carabobo against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with 12:9 goals (averaging 1.2:0.9 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Carabobo - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 53.58%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.