The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Carabobo 50.3%
Draw 27.7%
Deportivo La Guaira 22%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.9%
29.7%
30.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.2%
28.8%
29.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carabobo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carabobo's performance.
Deportivo La Guaira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo La Guaira might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carabobo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Guaira than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo La Guaira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Carabobo - Deportivo La Guaira Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Carabobo will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo La Guaira (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Silva M. (G) 21. Gonzalez A. (C) 32. Neira E. 6. Bahachille A. 8. Perez J. 14. Berios J. 30. Mendoza S. 26. Nunez M. 10. Orozco Y. 9. Castillo B. 24. Ramirez E.
1. Varela C. (G) 16. Martinez L. 13. Ibarra R. (C) 2. Gianoli M. 28. Villero M. 8. Perdomo J. 27. Correa J. 10. Castellanos J. 30. Zeballos S. 36. Londono F. 22. Sulbaran M.
Substitutes
20. Arzu E. 28. Bilbao J. 5. Castillo E. 15. Cova M. 3. Fuentes J. 2. Guaramato M. 16. Lopez F. 11. Machis D. 19. Martinez L. 23. Meza D. 17. Oliveros F. 12. Roa K. (G)
15. Gonzalez M. 37. Gonzalez M. 33. Hernandez N. 23. Herrera J. 43. Martinez J. 7. Meza J. 39. Orihuela M. 12. Sanchez J. (G) 9. Uribe A. 49. Vargas G.
Coaches
Farias D.
Bidoglio H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Gonzalez A. ↓, Guaramato M. ↑,
31', Mendoza S. 🟨,
32', Ibarra R. 🟨,
39', Bahachille A. 🟨,
42', Sulbaran M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mendoza S. ↓, Cova M. ↑,
54', Perdomo J. 🟨,
55', Nunez M. 🟨,
59', Zeballos S. ↓, Meza J. ↑,
59', Perdomo J. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
62', 1 - 0, Ramirez E. ⚽, Orozco Y. (A),
64', Castillo B. ↓, Machis D. ↑,
64', Orozco Y. ↓, Meza D. ↑,
66', Cova M. 🟨,
80', Castellanos J. ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
82', Berios J. ↓, Fuentes J. ↑,
85', Martinez L. ↓, Hernandez N. ↑,
85', Sulbaran M. ↓, Uribe A. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carabobo won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Carabobo could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Carabobo won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:23. (average 1.2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Carabobo won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.4:1).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Carabobo
11
5
3
3
12:8
4
18
6
La Guaira
11
5
1
5
21:16
5
16
Last Results with these Odds
Carabobo - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.86%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Silva M. (G) 
Neira E. 
Berios J. 
Gianoli M. 
Arzu E. 
Bilbao J. 
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