Match Info

Primera B - Round 9

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Ciudad de Laferrere Stadium (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Deportivo Laferrere		Excursionistas

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.92	2.15	Watch
	3.52	2.91	2.19
	3.48	2.85	2.2	Watch
	3.4	2.8	2.15
	3.4	3.09	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↑ (2.8)	2.91 ↓ (2.96)	2.18 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Laferrere
26.7%

Draw
31.4%

Excursionistas
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

30.9%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

30.2%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Laferrere has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Laferrere's form might have worsened.

Excursionistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Excursionistas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Laferrere than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Laferrere, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Deportivo Laferrere - Excursionistas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Libares T. (G) 10. Benitez A. 14. Manzi N. 18. Ortiz A. . Portillo B. 2. Redondo J. P. 9. Rodriguez E. 11. Romero F. 7. Salvadores J. 5. Trejo E. 4. Vivas A.	1. Rodriguez N. (G) 3. Arango M. 8. Avalos A. 10. Blanco M. 7. Damiolini N. 4. Fernandez M. 2. Igarzabal H. 6. Paulides A. 11. Pereyra J. 9. Polvera M. 5. Zoratti G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', Paulides A. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Benitez A. ⚽,
43', Zoratti G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Zoratti G. ↓, Alaniz M. ↑,
46', Nebot L. ↓, Cavoret I. ↑,
57', Damiolini N. ↓, Tellas G. ↑,
60', Benitez A. ↓, Digangi M. ↑,
65', Blanco M. ↓, Arbello I. ↑,
65', Pereyra J. ↓, Cardozo M. ↑,
71', Arbello I. 🟨,
73', Manzi N. ↓, Mamani L. ↑,
78', Romero F. ↓, Vega D. ↑,
78', Polvera M. ↓, Zapata V. ↑,
78', Denis J. ↓, Vivas A. ↑,
84', Digangi M. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Laferrere won 2.

Deportivo Laferrere is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Excursionistas is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Excursionistas might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Laferrere won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:21. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Laferrere won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 1.4:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Excursionistas	38	22	8	8	59:30	29	74
10	Laferrere	38	13	12	13	46:50	-4	51

Last Results with these Odds

Excursionistas - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 36.44%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Laferrere
Argentinian Primera B
28.03.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Deportivo Laferrere	3:0 ✺
22.03.26	Deportivo Laferrere - Argentino de Merlo	1:3 ✺
15.03.26	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Deportivo Laferrere	2:0 ✺
03.03.26	Deportivo Laferrere - Brown de Adrogué	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Deportivo Armenio - Deportivo Laferrere	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLLLW
- CA Excursionistas
Argentinian Primera B
28.03.26	Excursionistas - Brown de Adrogué	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Deportivo Armenio - Excursionistas	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Excursionistas - Deportivo Flandria	2:0 ✺
04.03.26	Excursionistas - Defensores Unidos	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Comunicaciones - Excursionistas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
20.10.25	Excursionistas - Deportivo Laferrere	1:2
01.06.25	Deportivo Laferrere - Excursionistas	2:0
20.09.24	Excursionistas - Deportivo Laferrere	4:0
05.05.24	Deportivo Laferrere - Excursionistas	2:3
Argentinian Primera C
04.09.23	Deportivo Laferrere - Excursionistas	1:1
25.04.23	Excursionistas - Deportivo Laferrere	0:0
21.10.22	Excursionistas - Deportivo Laferrere	1:2

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